eco364april2021examsolutions

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University of Toronto, Mississauga *

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Economics

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Jan 9, 2024

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ECO364H5S page 1 of 4 University of Toronto Mississauga Eco364H5S International Trade Theory April 2021 Final Examination Duration: 2 hours Aids: Non-programmable calculator Professor Gregory Gagnon Name (Print): Last Name: First Name: Student Number: Signature: There are 4 pages in the exam including this cover page The University of Toronto Mississauga and you, as a student, share a com- mitment to academic integrity. You are reminded that you may be charged with an academic offence for possessing any unauthorized aids during the writing of an exam. Clear, sealable, plastic bags have been provided for all electronic devices with storage, including but not limited to: cell phones, smart watches, SMART devices, tablets, laptops, and calculators. Please turn off all devices, seal them in the bag provided, and place the bag under your desk for the duration of the examination. You will not be able to touch the bag or its contents until the exam is over. If, during an exam, any of these items are found on your person or in the area of your desk other than in the clear, sealable, plastic bag, you may be charged with an academic offence. A typical penalty for an academic offence may cause you to fail the course. Please note, once this exam has begun, you CANNOT re-write it. Submit a pdf file of the answers to the Quercus Drop Box by April 13 at 3:00pm EST
ECO364H5S page 2 of 4 Part A: Multiple Choice. 15 marks. Each question is worth 3 marks . 1. Western Europe exports manufactures to Russia and imports oil from Russia. This might be viewed as a. validation of the Heckscher-Ohlin model. b. validation of the Ricardian model. c. both (a) and (b). 2. Consider the Specific Factors model and suppose the foreign economy is capital abundant while the domestic economy is labour abundant. Suppose investment brings domestic capital up to foreign levels then trade in M should a. fall. b. rise. c. be unchanged. 3. Suppose foreign demand for F falls in the Specific Factors model then domestic nominal wages will a. rise in manufacturing. b. fall in agriculture but not manufacturing. c. fall in both agriculture and manufacturing. 4. Econometric analysis of US-China trade relations suggests a. developed economies suffer higher unemployment immediately from trade liberalization. b. developed economies may benefit from trade liberalization in early stages. c. developed economies lose high tech industries as a result of free trade. 5. Suppose the US joins the Trans Pacific Partnership then Factor Price Equalization predicts a. a rise in US wages because of faster economic growth. b. a fall in US wages only if labour is completely mobile between the US and Asia. c. the combination of growth and competition will leave US wages un- changed. solution: 1.a 2.a. 3.c 4.b. 5.b
ECO364H5S page 3 of 4 Part B: Numerical Problems. 20 marks 1. Consider the Specific Factors Model. Let RS d , RS * and RS be the domestic, foreign and world relative supply curves. M is capital specific and F is land specific. The foreign economy is K abundant and the domestic economy T abundant. Let the curves be as follows: RS d : P d M P d F =600+0.8 Q r RS * : P * M P * F =800+0.8 Q r RD: P M P F =1200-0.3 Q r (5) a. Find equilibrium Q r . (5) b. Find equilibrium P M P F . solution: 1. a. 700 + 0 . 8 Q = 1200 - . 03 Q so Q = 454 . 5 b. P M P F = 700 + 0 . 8(454 . 5) = 1064 2. Consider the standard trade model with goods C and F . The PPC curve is given by 2 Q 2 F + 5 Q 2 C = 8. The utility of the agent is U ( q C , q F ) = q 1 2 F + q 1 2 C . Let p C = 2 and p F = 3. (5) a. Find the optimal consumption bundle ( q C , q F ). (5) b. Find whether trade occurs. a. Q F = 1 . 84 and Q C = 0 . 497 and q F = 0 . 87 and q C = 1 . 95 b. the economy imports C and exports F . Part C: Theoretical Problems. 65 marks. 1. In the Specific Factors Model RD-RS diagram analyze the effect of following shock on p M p F . The domestic economy is land abundant, the foreign economy capital abundant, F is the land specific good and M the capital specific good. Let M be manufactured goods and F food. (5) a. Pesticides used by domestic farmers depress land fertility. (5) b. For the shock in (a) explain the effect on world trade of M in a sentence.
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solution: b. the domestic economy can produce less F so it produces more M , implying it has less need to import M . also it has less F to trade for M . trade in M must fall for both reasons.
ECO364H5S page 4 of 4 (10) 2. Let the domestic and foreign markets for X be monopolistically competitive. Using a diagram analyze the effect on domestic ¯ P for the do- mestic X industry for the following shock in the monopolistic competition model. Also in a couple of sentences at most explain the effects on the domestic trade balance of X . The domestic economy experiences a fall in interest rates but foreign interest rates are unchanged. solution: costs in the domestic economy fall so domestic prices of X fall, implying domestic exports of X rise. hence the domestic trade balance of X rises. (5) 3. Consider the standard trade model with goods M and C . Suppose the domestic economy initially imports M and that foreign demand for M rises. In a diagram show the domestic economy can become an M exporter. Also show domestic welfare falls in equilibrium. 4. Consider a domestic monopoly producing X which also sells X in a competitive foreign market. Show the effect on the domestic price of the following independent shocks. Also show the impact on domestic consumer welfare stating whether there are gains or losses. (10) a. The foreign government reduces tariffs on imports of X . (10) b. The domestic government allows limited imports of X from the foreign economy. Assume the domestic economy is small relative to the foreign economy. 5. Consider the export supply and import demand curves for a good X . Show the effect of the following independent shocks on the world price of X . (5) a. The domestic economy produces a complement Y of X and the Y industry experiences a fall in costs of its specialized inputs. Assume only the domestic economy produces Y and considers Y a complement of X . (5) b. The domestic economy invests in its own X industry. 6. (10) Analyze the following statement explaining whether it is true, false or uncertain. Points are awarded for the quality of the explanation. Econometric evidence supports theoretical predictions that trade benefits all economies to the same extent .
solution: False. Econometric analysis of US employment after China re- ceived most favoured nation trading status suggests US employment initially rose across several industries but then started falling. the sectors included the automotive, communications and technology sectors. China may have imported US capital goods to retool its industries. after this was complete China’s penetration of US markets resulted in US employment losses. US firms could not compete with China’s low wages. also despite free trade agreements price discrimination across US export markets may exist. in eco- nomic models uniform prices is one benefit of free trade. thus it’s uncertain countries realized the full benefits of free trade. finally agricultural protec- tion appears strong despite the Uruguay Round Agreement, reflected by low estimates of US penetration of Japanese and Korean rice markets even with aid of government export programs. so free trade negotiations resulted in different benefits across countries. End of Exam
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