Mathematical Applications for the Management, Life, and Social Sciences
11th Edition
ISBN: 9781305108042
Author: Ronald J. Harshbarger, James J. Reynolds
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 8.3, Problem 33E
To determine
To calculate: The expected number of years before the first young are born if it takes
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PEER REPLY 1:
Choose a classmate's Main Post and review their decision making process.
1. Choose a risk level for each of the states of nature (assign a probability
value to each).
2. Explain why each risk level is chosen.
3. Which alternative do you believe would be the best based on the maximum
EMV?
4. Do you feel determining the expected value with perfect information
(EVWPI) is worthwhile in this situation? Why or why not?
Questions
An insurance company's cumulative incurred claims for the last 5 accident years are given
in the following table:
Development Year
Accident Year 0
2018
1 2 3 4
245 267 274 289 292
2019
255 276 288 294
2020
265 283 292
2021
263 278
2022
271
It can be assumed that claims are fully run off after 4 years. The premiums received for
each year are:
Accident Year Premium
2018
306
2019
312
2020
318
2021
326
2022
330
You do not need to make any allowance for inflation.
1. (a) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the basic chain ladder method.
(b) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method.
2. Comment on the differences in the reserves produced by the methods in Part 1.
Please complete through GeoGebra and present the screenshots of the results. Thanks! (This supports on how to submit it.)
Chapter 8 Solutions
Mathematical Applications for the Management, Life, and Social Sciences
Ch. 8.1 - Determine whether the following experiments...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 2CPCh. 8.1 - Determine whether the following experiments...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 4CPCh. 8.1 - 1. Suppose a fair die is rolled 18 times.
(a) What...Ch. 8.1 - 2. Suppose a fair coin is tossed 12 times.
(a)...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 3ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 4ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 5ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 6E
Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 8ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 9ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 10ECh. 8.1 - 11. Suppose a pair of dice is thrown 4 times. What...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 12ECh. 8.1 - 13. Suppose the probability that a marksman will...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 14ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 15ECh. 8.1 - 16. Testing A multiple-choice test has 10...Ch. 8.1 - Management The manager of a store buys weather...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 18ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 19ECh. 8.1 - Genetics If the probability that a certain couple...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 21ECh. 8.1 - 22. Employee benefits In a certain school...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 23ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 24ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 25ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 26ECh. 8.1 - 27. Sports A baseball player has a lifetime...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 28ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 29ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 30ECh. 8.1 - 31. Testing A quiz consists of 10 multiple-choice...Ch. 8.1 - Prob. 32ECh. 8.1 - Prob. 33ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 1CPCh. 8.2 - Prob. 2CPCh. 8.2 - Prob. 3CPCh. 8.2 - Prob. 4CPCh. 8.2 - Prob. 1ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 2ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 3ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 4ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 5ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 6ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 7ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 9ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 10ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 11ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 12ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 14ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 15ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 16ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 17ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 18ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 19ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 20ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 21ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 22ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 23ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 24ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 25ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 26ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 28ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 30ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 34ECh. 8.2 - In Problems 33-36, find the mean and standard...Ch. 8.2 - Prob. 36ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 38ECh. 8.2 - Assume all data are sample data.
39. Cell phones...Ch. 8.2 - Prob. 40ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 41ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 42ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 43ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 45ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 46ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 50ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 51ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 52ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 53ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 54ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 55ECh. 8.2 - Prob. 56ECh. 8.3 - 1. Consider a game in which you roll a the and...Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 2CPCh. 8.3 - Prob. 3CPCh. 8.3 - 4. A fair cube is colored so that 4 faces are...Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 1ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 2ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 3ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 6ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 7ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 11ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 12ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 13ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 14ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 15ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 16ECh. 8.3 - 17. Suppose an experiment has six possible...Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 18ECh. 8.3 - 19. Five slips of paper containing the numbers 0,...Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 20ECh. 8.3 - 21. A die is rolled 3 times, and success is...Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 25ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 8.3 - 27. Suppose a pair of dice is thrown 900 times....Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 8.3 - 30. Expand
Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 34ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 35ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 8.3 - 37. Raffle A nonprofit organization sells chances...Ch. 8.3 - 38. Lottery A charity sells raffle tickets for $1...Ch. 8.3 - 39. Gambling Suppose a student is offered a chance...Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 40ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 41ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 42ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 43ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 44ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 45ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 46ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 47ECh. 8.3 - 48. Cancer research Suppose it has been determined...Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 49ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 50ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 51ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 52ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 53ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 54ECh. 8.3 - 53. Quality control A certain calculator circuit...Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 56ECh. 8.3 - Prob. 57ECh. 8.3 - 56. Quality control The probability that a...Ch. 8.4 - 1. The mean of a normal distribution is 25, and...Ch. 8.4 - Prob. 2CPCh. 8.4 - 3. For the normal distribution with mean 70 and...Ch. 8.4 - Prob. 1ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 2ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 3ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 4ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 5ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 6ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 7ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 8ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 9ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 10ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 11ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 12ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 13ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 14ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 15ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 16ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 17ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 18ECh. 8.4 - Suppose a population of scores x is normally...Ch. 8.4 - Prob. 20ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 21ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 22ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 23ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 24ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 25ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 26ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 27ECh. 8.4 - 28. Find the number A that satisfies for the...Ch. 8.4 - Prob. 29ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 30ECh. 8.4 - 31. Growth The Fish Commission states that the...Ch. 8.4 - Prob. 32ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 33ECh. 8.4 - 34. Mating calls The durations of the mating calls...Ch. 8.4 - Prob. 35ECh. 8.4 - 36. Testing The Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT)...Ch. 8.4 - 37. Mileage A certain model of automobile has its...Ch. 8.4 - Prob. 38ECh. 8.4 - 39. Blood pressure Systolic blood pressure for a...Ch. 8.4 - Prob. 40ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 41ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 42ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 43ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 44ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 45ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 46ECh. 8.4 - Prob. 47ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 1CPCh. 8.5 - Prob. 2CPCh. 8.5 - Prob. 1ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 2ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 3ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 4ECh. 8.5 - For the binomial experiments in Problems 5-18,...Ch. 8.5 - Prob. 6ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 7ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 8ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 9ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 10ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 11ECh. 8.5 - For the binomial experiments in Problems 5-18,...Ch. 8.5 - Prob. 13ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 14ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 15ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 16ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 17ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 18ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 19ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 20ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 21ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 22ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 23ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 24ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 25ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 26ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 27ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 28ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 29ECh. 8.5 - In the following problems, use a normal...Ch. 8.5 - Prob. 31ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 32ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 33ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 34ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 35ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 36ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 37ECh. 8.5 - Prob. 38ECh. 8 - 1. If the probability of success on each trial of...Ch. 8 - Prob. 2RECh. 8 - 3. If a die is rolled 4 times, what is the...Ch. 8 - Prob. 4RECh. 8 - Prob. 5RECh. 8 - Prob. 6RECh. 8 - Prob. 7RECh. 8 - Prob. 8RECh. 8 - Prob. 9RECh. 8 - Prob. 10RECh. 8 - Prob. 11RECh. 8 - Prob. 12RECh. 8 - Prob. 13RECh. 8 - Prob. 14RECh. 8 - Determine whether each function or table in...Ch. 8 - Prob. 16RECh. 8 - Prob. 17RECh. 8 - Prob. 18RECh. 8 - Prob. 19RECh. 8 - Prob. 20RECh. 8 - Prob. 21RECh. 8 - Prob. 22RECh. 8 - Prob. 23RECh. 8 - Prob. 24RECh. 8 - Prob. 25RECh. 8 - Prob. 26RECh. 8 - Prob. 27RECh. 8 - Prob. 28RECh. 8 - Prob. 29RECh. 8 - Prob. 30RECh. 8 - Prob. 31RECh. 8 - Prob. 32RECh. 8 - Prob. 33RECh. 8 - Prob. 34RECh. 8 - Prob. 35RECh. 8 - Prob. 36RECh. 8 - Prob. 37RECh. 8 - Prob. 38RECh. 8 - 39. Sampling Suppose of a population opposes a...Ch. 8 - Prob. 40RECh. 8 - 41. Disease One person in 100,000 develops a...Ch. 8 - Prob. 42RECh. 8 - Prob. 43RECh. 8 - Prob. 44RECh. 8 - Prob. 45RECh. 8 - 46. Fraud A company selling substandard drugs to...Ch. 8 - Prob. 47RECh. 8 - Prob. 48RECh. 8 - Prob. 49RECh. 8 - Prob. 50RECh. 8 - 51. Net worth Suppose the mean net worth of the...Ch. 8 - 52. Testing The length of time it takes to...Ch. 8 - Prob. 53RECh. 8 - Prob. 54RECh. 8 - Prob. 55RECh. 8 - Prob. 56RECh. 8 - Prob. 1TCh. 8 - Prob. 2TCh. 8 - Prob. 3TCh. 8 - Prob. 4TCh. 8 - Prob. 5TCh. 8 - Prob. 6TCh. 8 - 7. If the variable x is normally distributed, with...Ch. 8 - Prob. 8TCh. 8 - Prob. 9TCh. 8 - Prob. 10TCh. 8 - Prob. 11TCh. 8 - Prob. 12TCh. 8 - Prob. 13TCh. 8 - Prob. 14TCh. 8 - Prob. 15TCh. 8 - Prob. 16TCh. 8 - Prob. 17TCh. 8 - Prob. 18TCh. 8 - Prob. 19TCh. 8 - Prob. 20TCh. 8 - Prob. 21TCh. 8 - Prob. 1EAGP1
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