UPENN: LOOSE LEAF CORP.FIN W/CONNECT
17th Edition
ISBN: 9781260361278
Author: Ross
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Publishing Co.
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Chapter 7, Problem 10CQ
Project Analysis You are discussing a project analysis with a coworker. The project involves real options, such as expanding the project if successful, or abandoning the project if it fails. Your coworker makes the following statement: “This analysis is ridiculous. We looked at expanding or abandoning the project in two years, but there are many other options we should consider. For example, we could expand in one year, and expand further in two years. Or we could expand in one year, and abandon the project in two years. There are too many options for us to examine. Because of this, anything this analysis would give us is worthless.” How would you evaluate this statement? Considering that with any capital budgeting project there are an infinite number of real options, when do you stop the option analysis on an individual project?
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Students have asked these similar questions
Would you accept a project where you had an initial investment of $10,000,000 but the NPV was only $10,000?
Group of answer choices
A. There is not enough information
B.Yes, because you will make the required return each year and the NPV in additional to the required return.
C. No, the NPV is too small for such a large initial investment
Your latest project involves the development of a death ray. Initial estimates predict that the project has a 50% chance of failure, with a potential loss of $1,000,000. However, you could hire an expert for $450,000. This is likely to reduce the chance of failure to 20% and the potential loss to $300,000.
Questions:
a) What is the dollar value of the net benefit of hiring the expert? Should you hire the expert? (Show all calculations for credit)
b) As the skeptical accountant, do you have any concerns with this analysis? Be specific in order to receive credit
You are considering investing in a project related to a new product opportunity. If you undertake the project immediately, you calculate the NPV will be $165,000. If you postpone the decision for one year, you will learn more about the relevant manufacturing process as well as the market for your product. If you wait one year, you expect with 80 percent likelihood competitors will enter the market and your NPV (in one year) will be - $20,000. With 20 percent likelihood, you will be the only market player and you will improve your production technology to create an NPV (in one year) of $400,000. The appropriate discount rate is 11 percent.
Required:
Calculate the expected NPV if you defer the project for one year, regardless of the potential scenario.
Calculate the expected NPV if you strategically decide how to undertake your project. That is, if we find that competitors enter the market, we can decide not to enter.
Interpret the difference in your answers to parts 1 and 2.
Chapter 7 Solutions
UPENN: LOOSE LEAF CORP.FIN W/CONNECT
Ch. 7 - Forecasting Risk What is forecasting risk? In...Ch. 7 - Sensitivity Analysis and Scenario Analysis What is...Ch. 7 - Prob. 3CQCh. 7 - Break-Even Point As a shareholder of a firm that...Ch. 7 - Prob. 5CQCh. 7 - Real Options Why does traditional NPV analysis...Ch. 7 - Real Options The Mango Republic has just...Ch. 7 - Prob. 8CQCh. 7 - Prob. 9CQCh. 7 - Project Analysis You are discussing a project...
Ch. 7 - Sensitivity Analysis and Break-Even Point We are...Ch. 7 - Prob. 2QPCh. 7 - Prob. 3QPCh. 7 - Prob. 4QPCh. 7 - Prob. 5QPCh. 7 - Decision Trees Ang Electronics. Inc., has...Ch. 7 - Decision Trees The manager for a growing firm is...Ch. 7 - Prob. 8QPCh. 7 - Prob. 9QPCh. 7 - Financial Break-Even Niko has purchased a brand...Ch. 7 - Prob. 11QPCh. 7 - Prob. 12QPCh. 7 - Project Analysis You are considering a new product...Ch. 7 - Project Analysis McGilla Golf has decided to sell...Ch. 7 - Prob. 17QPCh. 7 - Prob. 18QPCh. 7 - Prob. 19QPCh. 7 - Prob. 20QPCh. 7 - Prob. 21QPCh. 7 - Option to Wait Hickock Mining is evaluating when...Ch. 7 - Abandonment Decisions Allied Products, Inc., is...Ch. 7 - Prob. 24QPCh. 7 - Scenario Analysis You are the financial analyst...Ch. 7 - Scenario Analysis Consider a project to supply...Ch. 7 - Sensitivity Analysis In Problem 26, suppose youre...Ch. 7 - Prob. 28QPCh. 7 - Prob. 29QPCh. 7 - Financial Break-Even The Cornchopper Company is...
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