Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis
Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305115347
Author: Roxy Peck; Chris Olsen; Jay L. Devore
Publisher: Brooks Cole
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Chapter 6.6, Problem 67E

The authors of the paper “Do Physicians Know When Their Diagnoses Are Correct?” (Journal of General Internal Medicine [2005]: 334-339) presented detailed case studies to medical students and to faculty at medical schools. Each participant was asked to provide a diagnosis in the case and also to indicate whether his or her confidence in the correctness of the diagnosis was high or low. Define the events C, I, and H as follows:

C = event that diagnosis is correct

I = event that diagnosis is incorrect

H = event that confidence in the correctness of the diagnosis is high

  1. a. Data appearing in the paper were used to estimate the following probabilities for medical students:

Chapter 6.6, Problem 67E, The authors of the paper Do Physicians Know When Their Diagnoses Are Correct? (Journal of General , example  1

Use Bayes’ rule to calculate the probability of a correct diagnosis given that the student’s confidence level in the correctness of the diagnosis is high.

  1. b. Data from the paper were also used to estimate the following probabilities for medical school faculty:

Chapter 6.6, Problem 67E, The authors of the paper Do Physicians Know When Their Diagnoses Are Correct? (Journal of General , example  2

Calculate P(C|H) for medical school faculty. How does the value of this probability compare to the value of P(C|H) for students computed in Part (a)?

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Chapter 6 Solutions

Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis

Ch. 6.1 - An engineering construction firm is currently...Ch. 6.1 - Consider a Venn diagram picturing two events A and...Ch. 6.3 - A large department store offers online ordering....Ch. 6.3 - The manager of a music store has kept records of...Ch. 6.3 - A bookstore sells two types of books (fiction and...Ch. 6.3 - ▼ Medical insurance status—covered (C) or not...Ch. 6.3 - Roulette is a game of chance that involves...Ch. 6.3 - Phoenix is a hub for a large airline. Suppose that...Ch. 6.3 - A professor assigns five problems to be completed...Ch. 6.3 - Refer to the following information on full-term...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 6.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 6.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 6.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 6.3 - A deck of 52 playing cards is mixed well, and 5...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 6.3 - The student council for a school of science and...Ch. 6.3 - A student placement center has requests from five...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 6.4 - Two different airlines have a flight from Los...Ch. 6.4 - The article Chances Are You Know Someone with a...Ch. 6.4 - The accompanying data are from the article...Ch. 6.4 - The following graphical display is similar to one...Ch. 6.4 - Delayed diagnosis of cancer is a problem because...Ch. 6.4 - The events E and T are defined as E = the event...Ch. 6.4 - The newspaper article Folic Acid Might Reduce Risk...Ch. 6.4 - Suppose that an individual is randomly selected...Ch. 6.4 - Is ultrasound a reliable method for determining...Ch. 6.4 - The table at the top of the next page summarizes...Ch. 6.4 - USA Today (June 6, 2000) gave information on seal...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 41ECh. 6.4 - The paper Good for Women, Good for Men, Bad for...Ch. 6.5 - Many fire stations handle emergency calls for...Ch. 6.5 - The paper Predictors of Complementary Therapy Use...Ch. 6.5 - The report TV Drama/Comedy Viewers and Health...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 46ECh. 6.5 - Prob. 47ECh. 6.5 - In a small city, approximately 15% of those...Ch. 6.5 - Jeanie is a bit forgetful, and if she doesnt make...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 50ECh. 6.5 - Prob. 51ECh. 6.5 - Prob. 52ECh. 6.5 - The following case study was reported in the...Ch. 6.5 - Three friends (A, B, and C) will participate in a...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 55ECh. 6.5 - A store sells two different brands of dishwasher...Ch. 6.5 - The National Public Radio show Car Talk used to...Ch. 6.5 - Refer to the previous exercise. Suppose now that...Ch. 6.6 - A university has 10 vehicles available for use by...Ch. 6.6 - Prob. 60ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 61ECh. 6.6 - Let F denote the event that a randomly selected...Ch. 6.6 - According to a July 31, 2013 posting on cnn.com, a...Ch. 6.6 - Suppose that Blue Cab operates 15% of the taxis in...Ch. 6.6 - A large cable company reports the following: 80%...Ch. 6.6 - Refer to the information given in the previous...Ch. 6.6 - The authors of the paper Do Physicians Know When...Ch. 6.6 - A study of how people are using online services...Ch. 6.6 - Prob. 69ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 70ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 71ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 72ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 73ECh. 6.6 - The paper referenced in the previous exercise also...Ch. 6.6 - In an article that appears on the web site of the...Ch. 6.6 - Prob. 76ECh. 6.6 - Only 0.1% of the individuals in a certain...Ch. 6.7 - The Los Angeles Times (June 14, 1995) reported...Ch. 6.7 - Five hundred first-year students at a state...Ch. 6.7 - The table given below describes (approximately)...Ch. 6.7 - On April 1, 2010, the Bureau of the Census in the...Ch. 6 - A company uses three different assembly linesA1,...Ch. 6 - Prob. 88CRCh. 6 - Prob. 89CRCh. 6 - Prob. 90CRCh. 6 - Prob. 91CRCh. 6 - A company sends 40% of its overnight mail parcels...Ch. 6 - Prob. 93CRCh. 6 - Prob. 94CRCh. 6 - In a school machine shop, 60% of all machine...Ch. 6 - There are five faculty members in a certain...Ch. 6 - The general addition rule for three events states...Ch. 6 - A theater complex is currently showing four...Ch. 6 - Prob. 100CRCh. 6 - Suppose that a box contains 25 light bulbs, of...Ch. 6 - Prob. 102CRCh. 6 - A transmitter is sending a message using a binary...
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