EBK PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGI
EBK PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGI
9th Edition
ISBN: 8220102958432
Author: DEVORE
Publisher: CENGAGE L
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Chapter 6.2, Problem 21E

Let X have a Weibull distribution with parameters α and β, so

E(X)=βΓ(1 + 1/α)V(X)=β2{Γ(1 + 2/α) - [Γ(1 + 1/α)]2}

  1. a. Based on a random sample X1,.., Xn, write equations for the method of moments estimators of β and α. Show that, once the estimate of α has been obtained, the estimate of β can be found from a table of the gamma function and that the estimate of α is the solution to a complicated equation involving the gamma function.
  2. b. If n = 20, ˉx = 28.0, and x2i = 16,500, compute the estimates. [Hint: [Γ(1.2)]2/ Γ(1.4) = .95.]

a.

Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

Write the equations for the method of moments estimators of β and α.

Show that the estimate of β can be obtained from a table of gamma function after obtaining the estimate of α and the estimate of α is the solution to a complicated equation involving the gamma function.

Answer to Problem 21E

The equations for the method of moments estimators of β and α are:

ˆβ=ˉXΓ(1+1ˆα)_, and

1nni=1Xi2ˉX2=Γ(1+2ˆα)[Γ(1+1ˆα)]2_.

Explanation of Solution

Given info:

The random variable X has a Weibull distribution with parameters α and β, such that E(X)=βΓ(1+1α) and V(X)=β2{Γ(1+2α)[Γ(1+1α)]2}. A random sample of n observations X1,X2,...,Xn is obtained.

Calculation:

First, calculate E(X2) for the population having Weibull distribution:

It is known that:

V(X)=E(X2)[E(X)]2E(X2)=V(X)+[E(X)]2.

Now, for a Weibull distribution,

V(X)=β2{Γ(1+2α)[Γ(1+1α)]2}=β2Γ(1+2α)β2[Γ(1+1α)]2=β2Γ(1+2α)[βΓ(1+1α)]2=β2Γ(1+2α)[E(X)]2  (from given information).

Thus,

V(X)+[E(X)]2=β2Γ(1+2α)E(X2)=β2Γ(1+2α).

For a random sample of size n, the first sample raw moment is the sample mean, that is ˉX and the second sample raw moment is 1nni=1Xi2.

Method of moments:

The method of moments estimator of the mth population moment is found by equating with the mth sample moment with the mth population moment and then solving for the parameters.

Using the method of moments,

ˉX=E(X) and 1nni=1Xi2=E(X2).

Denote ˆα and ˆβ as the method of moments estimators as α and β.

Thus, the method of moments estimators are obtained as follows:

ˉX=E(X)=ˆβΓ(1+1ˆα)ˆβ=ˉXΓ(1+1ˆα)_.

This equation involves the gamma function.

Again,

1nni=1Xi2=E(X2)=ˆβ2Γ(1+2ˆα).

Substitute the expression for ˆβ in this equation:

1nni=1Xi2=[ˉXΓ(1+1ˆα)]2Γ(1+2ˆα)1nni=1Xi2ˉX2=Γ(1+2ˆα)[Γ(1+1ˆα)]2_.

This equation involves the gamma function.

This equation is independent of ˆβ and thus, can be solved to obtained ˆα. An observation of this equation reveals that it is quite a complicated equation. Thus, the estimate of α_ is the solution to a complicated equation involving the gamma function.

Once the second equation is solved, the estimated value of α_, ˆα_, can be substituted in the first equation to obtain ˆβ_, the estimate for β_.

Thus,

b.

Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

Compute the estimates when n=20, ˉx=28.0 and xi2=16,500.

Answer to Problem 21E

The estimate of ˆα is 1.2. The estimate of ˆβ is 28Γ(1.2)_.

Explanation of Solution

Calculation:

First, put n=20, ˉx=28.0 and xi2=16,500 in:

1nni=1Xi2ˉX2=Γ(1+2ˆα)[Γ(1+1ˆα)]2Γ(1+2ˆα)[Γ(1+1ˆα)]2=16,50020(28.0)2=825784=1.0523.

Now, taking reciprocal of both sides of the above equation,

[Γ(1+1ˆα)]2Γ(1+2ˆα)=11.0523=0.95030.95.

It is given in hint that:

[Γ(1.2)]2Γ(1.4)=0.95.

As a result,

[Γ(1+1ˆα)]2Γ(1+2ˆα)=[Γ(1.2)]2Γ(1.4).

The above equation is an identity, indicating that:

[Γ(1+1ˆα)]2=[Γ(1.2)]2, and,

Γ(1+2ˆα)=Γ(1.4).

From the second equation,

1+2ˆα=1.42ˆα=1.41=0.4ˆα=20.4

=5_.

Substitute ˆα=5 and ˉx=28.0 in the expression for ˆβ:

ˆβ=ˉXΓ(1+1ˆα)=28Γ(1+15)=28Γ(1+0.2)=28Γ(1.2)_.

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Chapter 6 Solutions

EBK PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGI

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