Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
9th Edition
ISBN: 9781319055967
Author: Moore
Publisher: MAC HIGHER
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Chapter 5.3, Problem 71E

(a)

To determine

To find: The probability that the sample proportion lies between 0.59 and 0.65.

(a)

Expert Solution
Check Mark

Answer to Problem 71E

Solution: The probability that a randomly selected sample has proportion between 0.59 and 0.65 is 0.832.

Explanation of Solution

Calculation: The mean of the binomial distribution is calculated as.

n×p=500×0.62=310

The standard deviation (σX) of the binomial distribution is calculated as,

σX=np(1p)=500×0.62×0.38=10.85

Also,

n(1p)=500×(10.62)=190

As np and n(1p) are greater than 10, the binomial distribution can be approximated to normal distribution with mean 310 and variance 117.8.

Now, obtain the Z-scores for p1 and p2 as shown below,

The Z score for p1=0.59 is calculated as,

Z=np1npnpq=500×0.5931010.85=1.38

The Z score for p2=0.65 is calculated as,

Z+=np2npnpq=500×0.6531010.85=1.38

Now, calculate the probability that the sample proportion p^ of those who received nasty messages falls between 0.59 and 0.65 as shown below,

P(0.59p^0.65)=P(1.38Z1.38)=P(Z1.38)P(Z1.38)

By using the standard normal table, the areas corresponding to probabilities P(Z1.38) and P(Z1.38) are 0.916 and 0.084, respectively.

So,

P(0.59p^0.65)=P(Z1.38)P(Z1.38)=0.9160.084=0.832

Hence, the required probability is 0.832.

(b)

To determine

To find: The probability that the sample proportion lies between 0.87 and 0.93.

(b)

Expert Solution
Check Mark

Answer to Problem 71E

Solution: The probability that a randomly selected sample has proportion between 0.87 and 0.93 is 0.974.

Explanation of Solution

Calculation: The mean of the binomial distribution is calculated as.

n×p=500×0.90=450

The standard deviation (σX) of the binomial distribution is calculated as,

σX=np(1p)=500×0.9×0.1=6.7

Also,

np(1p)=500×0.9×(10.9)=45

As np and np(1p) are greater than 10, the binomial distribution can be approximated to normal distribution with mean 450 and standard deviation 6.7.

Now, obtain the Z scores for p1 and p2 as shown below,

The Z score for p1=0.87 is calculated as,

Z=np1npnpq=500×0.874506.7=2.23

The Z score for p2=0.93 is calculated as,

Z+=np2npnpq=500×0.934506.7=2.23

Now, calculate the probability that the sample proportion p^ falls between 0.87 and 0.93 as shown below,

P(0.87p^0.93)=P(2.23Z2.23)=P(Z2.23)P(Z2.23)

By using the standard normal table, the areas corresponding to probabilities P(Z2.23) and P(Z2.23) are 0.987 and 0.012 respectively.

So,

P(0.87p^0.93)=P(Z2.23)P(Z2.23)=0.9870.012=0.975

Hence, the required probability is 0.975.

(c)

To determine

To explain: The effect on the probability of sample proportion p^ - that it falls within ±3% of the population proportion (p) value as the value of p gets closer to 1, by using the results of parts (a) and (b).

(c)

Expert Solution
Check Mark

Answer to Problem 71E

Solution: As the value of true population proportion p goes closer to 1, the probability of sample proportion p^ falling within ±3% will increase.

Explanation of Solution

The value of probability depends on the standard deviation. When true proportion p goes closer to one, it will attain the maximum value and then the standard deviation will decreases, so the overall value of probability will increase.

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Chapter 5 Solutions

Introduction to the Practice of Statistics

Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 11ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 12ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 13ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 14ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 15ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 16ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 17UYKCh. 5.2 - Prob. 18UYKCh. 5.2 - Prob. 19UYKCh. 5.2 - Prob. 20UYKCh. 5.2 - Prob. 21UYKCh. 5.2 - Prob. 22UYKCh. 5.2 - Prob. 23UYKCh. 5.2 - Prob. 24UYKCh. 5.2 - Prob. 25ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 26ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 28ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 30ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 34ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 35ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 36ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 37ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 38ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 39ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 40ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 41ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 42ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 43UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 44UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 45UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 46UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 47UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 48UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 49UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 50UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 51UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 52UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 53UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 54UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 55UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 56UYKCh. 5.3 - Prob. 57ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 58ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 59ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 60ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 61ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 62ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 63ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 64ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 65ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 66ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 67ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 68ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 69ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 70ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 71ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 72ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 73ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 74ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 75ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 76ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 77ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 78ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 79ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 80ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 81ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 82ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 83ECh. 5 - Prob. 84ECh. 5 - Prob. 85ECh. 5 - Prob. 86ECh. 5 - Prob. 87ECh. 5 - Prob. 88ECh. 5 - Prob. 89ECh. 5 - Prob. 90ECh. 5 - Prob. 91ECh. 5 - Prob. 92ECh. 5 - Prob. 93ECh. 5 - Prob. 94ECh. 5 - Prob. 95ECh. 5 - Prob. 96ECh. 5 - Prob. 97ECh. 5 - Prob. 98ECh. 5 - Prob. 99ECh. 5 - Prob. 100ECh. 5 - Prob. 101ECh. 5 - Prob. 102E
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