To be a winner in a certain game, you must be successful in three successive rounds. The game depends on the value of U, a uniform random variable on (0, 1). If U > .1 , then you are successful in round 1; if U > .2 , then you are successful in round 2; and if U > .3 , then you are successful in round 3. a. Find the probability that you are successful in round 1. b. Find the conditional probability that you are successful in round 2 given that you were successful in round 1. c. Find the conditional probability that you are successful in round 3 given that you were successful in rounds 1 and 2. d. Find the probability that you are a winner.
To be a winner in a certain game, you must be successful in three successive rounds. The game depends on the value of U, a uniform random variable on (0, 1). If U > .1 , then you are successful in round 1; if U > .2 , then you are successful in round 2; and if U > .3 , then you are successful in round 3. a. Find the probability that you are successful in round 1. b. Find the conditional probability that you are successful in round 2 given that you were successful in round 1. c. Find the conditional probability that you are successful in round 3 given that you were successful in rounds 1 and 2. d. Find the probability that you are a winner.
Solution Summary: The author explains that the sum of probabilities is always equal to 1. In a certain game, Winner must be successful in three successive rounds.
To be a winner in a certain game, you must be successful in three successive rounds. The game depends on the value of U, a uniform random variable on (0, 1). If
U
>
.1
, then you are successful in round 1; if
U
>
.2
, then you are successful in round 2; and if
U
>
.3
, then you are successful in round 3.
a. Find the probability that you are successful in round 1.
b. Find the conditional probability that you are successful in round 2 given that you were successful in round 1.
c. Find the conditional probability that you are successful in round 3 given that you were successful in rounds 1 and 2.
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