EBK CFIN
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337671743
Author: BESLEY
Publisher: CENGAGE LEARNING - CONSIGNMENT
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Chapter 5, Problem 11PROB
Summary Introduction
Expectation theory:
Expectation theory is used to find forward interest rate based on the prevailing long term interest rates.
Calculate the forward rate as follows:
Given two year Treasury bond rate is 1.2%, three year Treasury bond rate is 1.4% and four year Treasury bond rate is 1.9%.
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The interest rate on one-year Treasury bonds is 0.4 percent, the rate on two-year T-bonds is 0.8 percent, and the rate on three-year T-bonds is 1.1 percent. Using the expectations theory, compute the expected one-year interest rates in (a) the second year (Year 2 only) and (b) the third year (year 3 only).
The interest rate on five-year Treasury bonds is 3.1 percent, the rate on six-year T-bonds is 2.9 percent, and the rate on seven-yearT-bonds is 2.6 percent. Using the expectations theory, compute the expected one-year interest rates in (a) Year 6 only and (b) Year 7 only.
The interest rate on one-year Treasury bonds is 0.8 percent, the rate on two-year T-bonds is 0.9 percent, and the rate on three-year T-bonds is 1.0 percent.
Using the expectations theory, compute the expected one-year interest rate in the second year (Year 2 only). Round your answer to one decimal place.
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Using the expectations theory, compute the expected one-year interest rate in the third year (Year 3 only). Round your answer to one decimal place.
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- The interest rate on one-year Treasury bonds is 1.1 percent, the rate on two-year T-bonds is 1.3 percent, and the rate on three-year T-bonds is 1.5 percent. Using the expectations theory, compute the expected one-year interest rate in the second year (Year 2 only). Round your answer to one decimal place. _________ % Using the expectations theory, compute the expected one-year interest rate in the third year (Year 3 only). Round your answer to one decimal place. _________ %arrow_forwardThe three-year interest rate is 7.40% and the four-year interest rate is 8.6%. The liquidity premium for three-year and four-year bonds are 0.40 and 0.60 respectively. Calculate the adjusted forward rate forecast for three-year periods in the futurearrow_forwardThe 3-year interest rate is 6.60%, and the 4-year interest rate is 7.90%. The liquidity premia for 3- and 4-year bonds are 0.60% and 0.9%, respectively. Calculate the adjusted forward-rate forecast for 3 periods in the future. (Round your answer to two decimal points.)arrow_forward
- 1) Suppose that today's one-year interest rate is 5%. Consider the following one-year interest rates expected to occur over the next four years: 6%, 7%, 8% and 9%.a. Calculate the interest rate for two-year bonds, based on the expectations theory.b. What about five-year bonds?arrow_forwardSuppose you can observe that 1-year bond interest rate is 4%, 2-year bond interest rate is 8%, and 3-year bond interest rate is 10% at time t. It is also known that the term premium on a 2-year bond is 1% and the term premium on a 3-year bond is 1.5%. a) What are the market's expected 1-year bond interest rates for the next two years from time t? b) How to interpret those expected short-term interest rates? (what would be the "possible" economic meanings in the expected short- term interest rates?) Discuss as least two "candidates" to explain them.arrow_forwardSuppose the current interest rate on a one-year bond is 2% and the current interest rate on a two-year bond is 4%. The term premium on a two-year bond is 1%. According to the expectations hypothesis, what interest rate should we expect on a one-year bond next year? Answer as a percentage to one decimal place and do not include symbols (e.g. $, %, commas) in your answer. Answer:arrow_forward
- Today, interest rates on 1-year T-bonds yield 1.2%, interest rates on 2-year T-bonds yield 2%, and interest rates on 3-year T-bonds yield 3.3%. a. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places.arrow_forwardToday, interest rates on 1-year T-bonds yield 1.7%, interest rates on 2-year T-bonds yield 2.5%, and interest rates on 3-year T-bonds yield 3.7%.a. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. b. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 2-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. c. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds two years from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places.arrow_forwardSuppose that the interest rate on one-year bonds is currently 4 percent and is expected to be 5 percent in one year and 6 percent in two years. Using the expectations hypothesis, compute the yields on two- and three-year bonds and plot the yield curve.arrow_forward
- Suppose the yield on a two-year-old Treasury bond is 5 percent and the yield on a one-year Treasury bond is a 4 percent. If the maturity risk premium (MRP) on these bonds is zero (0), what is the expected one-year interest rate during the second year (Year 2)?arrow_forwardToday, interest rates on 1-year T-bonds yield 1.2%, interest rates on 2-year T-bonds yield 2.6%, and interest rates on 3-year T-bonds yield 3.7%.a. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculations. b. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 2-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculations. c. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds two years from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculations.arrow_forwardOne-year government bonds yield 6 percent and 2-year government bonds yield 5.5 percent. Assume that the expectations theory holds. What does the market believe the rate on 1-year government bonds will be one year from today?arrow_forward
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