Elementary Statistics
12th Edition
ISBN: 9780321836960
Author: Mario F. Triola
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 4.3, Problem 40BB
Disjoint
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(c) Because logistic regression predicts probabilities of outcomes, observations used to build a logistic regression model need not be independent.
A. false: all observations must be independent
B. true
C. false: only observations with the same outcome need to be independent
I ANSWERED: A. false: all observations must be independent.
(This was marked wrong but I have no idea why. Isn't this a basic assumption of logistic regression)
Business discuss
Spam filters are built on principles similar to those used in logistic regression. We fit a probability that each message is spam or not spam. We have several variables for each email. Here are a few: to_multiple=1 if there are multiple recipients, winner=1 if the word 'winner' appears in the subject line, format=1 if the email is poorly formatted, re_subj=1 if "re" appears in the subject line. A logistic model was fit to a dataset with the following output:
Estimate
SE
Z
Pr(>|Z|)
(Intercept)
-0.8161
0.086
-9.4895
0
to_multiple
-2.5651
0.3052
-8.4047
0
winner
1.5801
0.3156
5.0067
0
format
-0.1528
0.1136
-1.3451
0.1786
re_subj
-2.8401
0.363
-7.824
0
(a) Write down the model using the coefficients from the model fit.log_odds(spam) = -0.8161 + -2.5651 + to_multiple + 1.5801 winner + -0.1528 format + -2.8401 re_subj(b) Suppose we have an observation where to_multiple=0, winner=1, format=0, and re_subj=0. What is the predicted probability that this message is spam?…
Chapter 4 Solutions
Elementary Statistics
Ch. 4.2 - Florida Lottery Let A denote the event of placing...Ch. 4.2 - Probability Given that the following statement is...Ch. 4.2 - Interpreting Weather While this exercise was being...Ch. 4.2 - Subjective Probability Estimate the probability...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 5BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 6BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 7BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 8BSCCh. 4.2 - In Exercises 912, assume that 400 births are...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 912, assume that 400 births are...
Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 912, assume that 400 births are...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 912, assume that 400 births are...Ch. 4.2 - Traffic Light When arriving at the traffic light...Ch. 4.2 - Weather While this exercise was being created,...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 1320, express the indicated degree of...Ch. 4.2 - Pierced Ears Based on a Harris poll, there is a...Ch. 4.2 - SAT Test When making a random guess for an answer...Ch. 4.2 - Dice When rolling a pair of dice at the Bellagio...Ch. 4.2 - Statistics Test It is impossible to pass a...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 1320, express the indicated degree of...Ch. 4.2 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening Find the probability...Ch. 4.2 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening Hind the probability...Ch. 4.2 - Table 4-1 Pre-Employment Drug Screening Results...Ch. 4.2 - Table 4-1 Pre-Employment Drug Screening Results...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - Struck by Lightning In a recent year, 304 of the...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Probability from a Sample Space. In Exercises...Ch. 4.2 - Probability from a Sample Space. In Exercises...Ch. 4.2 - Two Children Exercise 37 lists the sample spice...Ch. 4.2 - Probability from a Sample Space. In Exercises...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 43BBCh. 4.2 - Finding Odds in Roulette A roulette wheel has 38...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 45BBCh. 4.2 - Prob. 46BBCh. 4.2 - Relative Risk and Odds Ratio In a clinical trial...Ch. 4.3 - Complements What is wrong with the expression?...Ch. 4.3 - Casino Craps A gambler plans to play the casino...Ch. 4.3 - Disjoint Events For a Gallup poll, M is the event...Ch. 4.3 - Rule of Complements One form of the rule of...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Whatever A Marist poll survey showed that 47% of...Ch. 4.3 - Online Courses According to the National...Ch. 4.3 - Flirting Survey In a Microsoft Instant Messaging...Ch. 4.3 - Finding Complements. In Exercises 58, find the...Ch. 4.3 - Drug Screening If one of the test subjects is...Ch. 4.3 - Drug Screening If one of the test subjects is...Ch. 4.3 - Drug Screening If one of the subjects it randomly...Ch. 4.3 - Drug Screening If one of the subjects is randomly...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 31BSCCh. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - Gender Selection When analyzing results from a...Ch. 4.3 - Disjoint Events If events A and B are disjoint and...Ch. 4.3 - Exclusive Or The formal addition rule expressed...Ch. 4.3 - Extending the Addition Rule Extend the formal...Ch. 4.3 - Complements and the Addition Rule a. Develop a...Ch. 4.4 - Notation Let R be the event of randomly selecting...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events Are events R and...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events True or false:...Ch. 4.4 - Sample for a Poll There are currently 28,741,346...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Pro-Employment Drug Screening. In Exercises 1316,...Ch. 4.4 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening. In Exercises 1316,...Ch. 4.4 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening. In Exercises 1316,...Ch. 4.4 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening. In Exercises 1316,...Ch. 4.4 - Acceptance Sampling With one method of a procedure...Ch. 4.4 - Acceptance Sampling With one method of a procedure...Ch. 4.4 - Redundancy In Computer Hard Drives It is generally...Ch. 4.4 - Redundancy In Aircraft Radios The FAA requires...Ch. 4.4 - Born on the 4th of July For the following, ignore...Ch. 4.4 - Hiring Employees Assume that Google, Inc. hires...Ch. 4.4 - In Exercises 2326, use these results from the...Ch. 4.4 - In Exercises 2326, use these results from the...Ch. 4.4 - In Exercises 2326, use these results from the...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 26BSCCh. 4.4 - In Exercises 2730, find the probabilities and...Ch. 4.4 - In Exercises 2730, find the probabilities and...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 29BSCCh. 4.4 - In Exercises 2730, find the probabilities and...Ch. 4.4 - System Reliability Refer to the figure at the top...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 32BBCh. 4.5 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 2BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 3BSCCh. 4.5 - Confusion of the Inverse Using the same events A...Ch. 4.5 - Describing Complements. In Exercises 58, provide a...Ch. 4.5 - Describing Complements. In Exercises 58, provide a...Ch. 4.5 - Describing Complements. In Exercises 58, provide a...Ch. 4.5 - Describing Complements. In Exercises 58, provide a...Ch. 4.5 - At Least One Correct Answer If you make random...Ch. 4.5 - At Least One Working Calculator A statistics...Ch. 4.5 - Probability of a Girl Assuming that boys and girls...Ch. 4.5 - At Least One Correct Answer If you make random...Ch. 4.5 - Births in the United States hi the United States,...Ch. 4.5 - Births in China In China, the probability of a...Ch. 4.5 - Car Crashes The probability of a randomly selected...Ch. 4.5 - Cleared Burglaries According 10 FBI data, 12.4% of...Ch. 4.5 - At Least One. In Exercises 5-12, find the...Ch. 4.5 - Compliments at Work Based on a poll conducted...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - Identical and Fraternal Twins. In Exercises 25-28,...Ch. 4.5 - Identical and Fraternal Twins. In Exercises 25-28,...Ch. 4.5 - Prob. 27BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 28BSCCh. 4.5 - Redundancy in Computer Hard Drives Assume that...Ch. 4.5 - Prob. 30BSCCh. 4.5 - Composite Drug Screening Based on the data in...Ch. 4.5 - Composite Water Samples The Fairfield County...Ch. 4.5 - Prob. 33BBCh. 4.5 - Prob. 34BBCh. 4.6 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 2BSCCh. 4.6 - California Daily 4 The winning numbers for the...Ch. 4.6 - Selections with Replacement When randomly...Ch. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 9BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 10BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 11BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 12BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 13BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 14BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 15BSCCh. 4.6 - Florida Lottery Winning the jackpot in the Florida...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 17BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 18BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 19BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 20BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 21BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 22BSCCh. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 24BSCCh. 4.6 - Jumble Puzzle Many newspapers carry Jumble, a...Ch. 4.6 - Jumble Puzzle Many newspapers carry Jumble, a...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 27BSCCh. 4.6 - Electricity When testing for current in a cable...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 30BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 31BSCCh. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 33BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 34BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 35BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 36BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 37BBCh. 4.6 - Prob. 38BBCh. 4.6 - Prob. 39BBCh. 4.6 - Prob. 40BBCh. 4 - A multiple-choice question on a statistics quiz...Ch. 4 - As the author is creating this exercise, a weather...Ch. 4 - Prob. 3CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 4CQQCh. 4 - Estimate the probability that a randomly selected...Ch. 4 - Prob. 6CQQCh. 4 - In Exercises 6-10, use site following results from...Ch. 4 - Prob. 8CQQCh. 4 - In Exercises 6-10, use site following results from...Ch. 4 - Prison and Plea. In Exercises 1-10, use the data...Ch. 4 - Prison and Plea. In Exercises 1-10, use the data...Ch. 4 - Prob. 3RECh. 4 - Prob. 4RECh. 4 - Prob. 5RECh. 4 - Prob. 6RECh. 4 - Prob. 7RECh. 4 - Prob. 8RECh. 4 - Prison and Plea. In Exercises 1-10, use the data...Ch. 4 - Prison and Plea. In Exercises 1-10, use the data...Ch. 4 - Prob. 11RECh. 4 - Prob. 12RECh. 4 - Prob. 13RECh. 4 - Prob. 14RECh. 4 - Prob. 15RECh. 4 - Prob. 16RECh. 4 - Prob. 17RECh. 4 - Trifecta In horse racing, a trifecta is a bet that...Ch. 4 - Prob. 1CRECh. 4 - Unusual/Unlikely Events a. The mean pulse rate for...Ch. 4 - Prob. 3CRECh. 4 - Prob. 4CRECh. 4 - Sampling Eye Color Based on a study by Dr. P....Ch. 4 - Prob. 6CRECh. 4 - Prob. 7CRECh. 4 - Prob. 1FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 2FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 3FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 4FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 5FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 6FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 7FDDCh. 4 - Critical Thinking: Interpreting medical test...Ch. 4 - Prob. 9FDD
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- The details of the clock sales at a supermarket for the past 6 weeks are shown in the table below. The time series appears to be relatively stable, without trend, seasonal, or cyclical effects. The simple moving average value of k is set at 2. If the smoothing constant is assumed to be 0.7, and setting F1 and F2=A1, what is the exponential smoothing sales forecast for week 7? Round to the nearest whole number. Week Units sold 1 88 2 44 3 54 4 65 5 72 6 85 Question content area bottom Part 1 A. 80 clocks B. 60 clocks C. 70 clocks D. 50 clocksarrow_forwardThe details of the clock sales at a supermarket for the past 6 weeks are shown in the table below. The time series appears to be relatively stable, without trend, seasonal, or cyclical effects. The simple moving average value of k is set at 2. Calculate the value of the simple moving average mean absolute percentage error. Round to two decimal places. Week Units sold 1 88 2 44 3 54 4 65 5 72 6 85 Part 1 A. 14.39 B. 25.56 C. 23.45 D. 20.90arrow_forwardThe accompanying data shows the fossil fuels production, fossil fuels consumption, and total energy consumption in quadrillions of BTUs of a certain region for the years 1986 to 2015. Complete parts a and b. Year Fossil Fuels Production Fossil Fuels Consumption Total Energy Consumption1949 28.748 29.002 31.9821950 32.563 31.632 34.6161951 35.792 34.008 36.9741952 34.977 33.800 36.7481953 35.349 34.826 37.6641954 33.764 33.877 36.6391955 37.364 37.410 40.2081956 39.771 38.888 41.7541957 40.133 38.926 41.7871958 37.216 38.717 41.6451959 39.045 40.550 43.4661960 39.869 42.137 45.0861961 40.307 42.758 45.7381962 41.732 44.681 47.8261963 44.037 46.509 49.6441964 45.789 48.543 51.8151965 47.235 50.577 54.0151966 50.035 53.514 57.0141967 52.597 55.127 58.9051968 54.306 58.502 62.4151969 56.286…arrow_forward
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