
An Introduction to Statistical Methods and Data Analysis
7th Edition
ISBN: 9781305269477
Author: R. Lyman Ott, Micheal T. Longnecker
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 4.18, Problem 88E
a.
To determine
Find the exact
Find the normal approximation for
b.
To determine
Explain why the normal approximation can be improved slightly by taking
Compare the results.
c.
To determine
Find the exact probability for
Find the normal approximation with the continuity correction for
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Could you please answer this question using excel.Thanks
Questions
An insurance company's cumulative incurred claims for the last 5 accident years are given
in the following table:
Development Year
Accident Year 0
2018
1 2 3 4
245 267 274 289 292
2019
255 276 288 294
2020
265 283 292
2021
263 278
2022
271
It can be assumed that claims are fully run off after 4 years. The premiums received for
each year are:
Accident Year Premium
2018
306
2019
312
2020
318
2021
326
2022
330
You do not need to make any allowance for inflation.
1. (a) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the basic chain ladder method.
(b) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method.
2. Comment on the differences in the reserves produced by the methods in Part 1.
Calculate the correlation coefficient r, letting Row 1 represent the x-values and Row 2 the y-values. Then calculate
it again, letting Row 2 represent the x-values and Row 1 the y-values. What effect does switching the variables have
on r?
Row 1
Row 2
13
149
25
36
41
60
62
78
S
205
122
195
173
133
197
24
Calculate the correlation coefficient r, letting Row 1 represent the x-values and Row 2 the y-values.
r=0.164 (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
S
24
Chapter 4 Solutions
An Introduction to Statistical Methods and Data Analysis
Ch. 4.18 - Indicate which interpretation of the probability...Ch. 4.18 - If you are having a stroke, it is critical that...Ch. 4.18 - In reporting highway safety, the National Highway...Ch. 4.18 - In a cable TV program concerning the risk of...Ch. 4.18 - The gaming commission in its annual examination of...Ch. 4.18 - The state vehicle inspection bureau provided the...Ch. 4.18 - The Texas Lottery has a game, Daily 4, in which a...Ch. 4.18 - A die is rolled two times. Provide a list of the...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.10. Assume that the die is a...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.11. a. Describe the event that...
Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.11. a. Are events A and B...Ch. 4.18 - A credit union takes a sample of four mortgages...Ch. 4.18 - A nuclear power plant has double redundancy on the...Ch. 4.18 - The population distribution in the United States...Ch. 4.18 - The makers of the candy MMs report that their...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.11. Compute the following...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 19ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 20ECh. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.16. Let W be the event that...Ch. 4.18 - Is it possible for events A and B to be both...Ch. 4.18 - A survey of 1,000 U.S. government employees who...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.23. Define the following...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 25ECh. 4.18 - A large corporation has spent considerable time...Ch. 4.18 - The utility company in a large metropolitan area...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 28ECh. 4.18 - Of a finance companys loans, 1% are defaulted (not...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.29. Show that the posterior...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 31ECh. 4.18 - In Example 4.4, compute the probability that the...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 33ECh. 4.18 - In a January 15, 1998, article, the New England...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 35ECh. 4.18 - Classify each of the following random variables as...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 37ECh. 4.18 - Texting while driving is a very dangerous...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 39ECh. 4.18 - The numbers of cars failing an emissions test on...Ch. 4.18 - A traditional call center has a simple mission:...Ch. 4.18 - A biologist randomly selects 10 portions of water,...Ch. 4.18 - Examine the accompanying newspaper clipping. Does...Ch. 4.18 - A survey is conducted to estimate the percentage...Ch. 4.18 - In an attempt to decrease drunk driving, police...Ch. 4.18 - The quality control department examines all the...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 47ECh. 4.18 - The CFO of a hospital is concerned about the risk...Ch. 4.18 - Suppose the random variable y has a Poisson...Ch. 4.18 - Customers arrive at a grocery store checkout at a...Ch. 4.18 - A firm is considering using the Internet to...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 52ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 53ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 54ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 55ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 56ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 57ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 58ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 59ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 60ECh. 4.18 - In Exercises 4.57 through 4.63, let z be a random...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 62ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 63ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 64ECh. 4.18 - Let y be a random variable having a normal...Ch. 4.18 - Suppose that y is a random variable having a...Ch. 4.18 - Suppose that z is a random variable having a...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 68ECh. 4.18 - Records maintained by the office of budget in a...Ch. 4.18 - The College Boards, which are administered each...Ch. 4.18 - Monthly sales figures for a particular food...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.70. An honor society wishes to...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 73ECh. 4.18 - Prob. 74ECh. 4.18 - A psychologist is interested in studying women who...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 76ECh. 4.18 - A random sample of 16 measurements is drawn from a...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 78ECh. 4.18 - Psychomotor retardation scores for a particular...Ch. 4.18 - Federal resources have been tentatively approved...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.80. What size facility should...Ch. 4.18 - Based on the 1990 census, the number of hours per...Ch. 4.18 - The level of a particular pollutant, nitrogen...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.83. A company has a fleet of...Ch. 4.18 - The baggage limit for an airplane is set at 100...Ch. 4.18 - A patient visits her doctor with concerns about...Ch. 4.18 - Critical key-entry errors in the data processing...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 88ECh. 4.18 - Let y be a binomial random variable with n = 10...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 90ECh. 4.18 - A marketing research firm advises a new client...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 92ECh. 4.18 - Suppose a population consists of the 10...Ch. 4.18 - The fracture toughness in concrete specimens is a...Ch. 4.18 - One way to audit expense accounts for a large...Ch. 4.18 - The breaking strengths for 1-foot-square samples...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.96. Suppose that a new...Ch. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.97. Suppose that the mean...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 99SECh. 4.18 - Prob. 100SECh. 4.18 - Experts consider high serum cholesterol levels to...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 102SECh. 4.18 - Prob. 103SECh. 4.18 - Prob. 104SECh. 4.18 - Prob. 105SECh. 4.18 - Prob. 106SECh. 4.18 - Refer to Exercise 4.106. Plot the sampling...Ch. 4.18 - Random samples of size 5, 20, and 80 are drawn...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 109SECh. 4.18 - Suppose the probability that a major earthquake...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 111SECh. 4.18 - Airlines overbook (sell more tickets than there...Ch. 4.18 - Prob. 113SECh. 4.18 - As part of a study to determine factors that may...
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