UNDERSTANDING BASIC STATISTICS (LOOSE)
UNDERSTANDING BASIC STATISTICS (LOOSE)
8th Edition
ISBN: 9781337558198
Author: BRASE
Publisher: CENGAGE L
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Chapter 4.1, Problem 15P

Meteorology: Cyclones Can a low barometer reading be used to predict maximum wind speed of an approaching tropical cyclone? Data for this problem are based on information taken from Weatherwise (Vol. 46, No. 1), a publication of the American Meteorological Society. For a random sample of tropical cyclones, let x be the lowest pressure (in millibars) as a cyclone approaches, and let y be the maximum wind speed (in miles per hour) of the cyclone.

x 1004 975 992 935 985 932
y 40 100 65 145 80 150

(a) Make a scatter diagram and draw the line you think best fits the data.

(b) Would you say the correlation is low. moderate, or strong? positive or negative?

(c) Use a calculator to verify that x = 5823 , x 2 = 5 , 655 , 779 , y = 580 , y 2 = 65 , 750 , and  x y = 556 , 315. Compute r. As x increases, does the value of r imply that y should tend to increase or decrease? Explain.

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(c) Because logistic regression predicts probabilities of outcomes, observations used to build a logistic regression model need not be independent. A. false: all observations must be independent B. true C. false: only observations with the same outcome need to be independent I ANSWERED: A. false: all observations must be independent.  (This was marked wrong but I have no idea why. Isn't this a basic assumption of logistic regression)
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Spam filters are built on principles similar to those used in logistic regression. We fit a probability that each message is spam or not spam. We have several variables for each email. Here are a few: to_multiple=1 if there are multiple recipients, winner=1 if the word 'winner' appears in the subject line, format=1 if the email is poorly formatted, re_subj=1 if "re" appears in the subject line. A logistic model was fit to a dataset with the following output:   Estimate SE Z Pr(>|Z|) (Intercept) -0.8161 0.086 -9.4895 0 to_multiple -2.5651 0.3052 -8.4047 0 winner 1.5801 0.3156 5.0067 0 format -0.1528 0.1136 -1.3451 0.1786 re_subj -2.8401 0.363 -7.824 0 (a) Write down the model using the coefficients from the model fit.log_odds(spam) = -0.8161 + -2.5651 + to_multiple  + 1.5801 winner + -0.1528 format + -2.8401 re_subj(b) Suppose we have an observation where to_multiple=0, winner=1, format=0, and re_subj=0. What is the predicted probability that this message is spam?…

Chapter 4 Solutions

UNDERSTANDING BASIC STATISTICS (LOOSE)

Ch. 4.1 - Interpretation Trevor conducted a study and found...Ch. 4.1 - Interpretation Do people who spend more time on...Ch. 4.1 - Veterinary Science: Shetland Ponies How much...Ch. 4.1 - Health Insurance:Administrative Cost The following...Ch. 4.1 - Meteorology: Cyclones Can a low barometer reading...Ch. 4.1 - Geology: Earthquakes Is the magnitude of an...Ch. 4.1 - Baseball: Batting Averages and Home Runs In...Ch. 4.1 - University Crime: FBI Report Do larger...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 19PCh. 4.1 - Prob. 20PCh. 4.1 - Expand Your Knowledge: Using a Table to Test The...Ch. 4.1 - Expand Your Knowledge: Sample Size and...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 23PCh. 4.2 - Statistical Literacy In the least-squares line...Ch. 4.2 - Statistical Literacy In the least squares line...Ch. 4.2 - Critical Thinking When we use a least-squares line...Ch. 4.2 - Critical Thinking If two variables have a negative...Ch. 4.2 - Critical Thinking: Interpreting Computer Printouts...Ch. 4.2 - Critical Thinking: Interpreting Computer Printouts...Ch. 4.2 - Economics: Entry-Level Jobs An economist is...Ch. 4.2 - Ranching: Cattle You are the foreman of the Bar-S...Ch. 4.2 - Weight of Car: Miles per Gallon Do heavier cars...Ch. 4.2 - Basketball: Fouls Data for this problem are based...Ch. 4.2 - Auto Accidents: Age Data for this problem are...Ch. 4.2 - Auto Accidents: Age Let x be the age of a licensed...Ch. 4.2 - Incoine: Medicai Care Let x be per capita income...Ch. 4.2 - Violent Crimes: Prisons Does prison really deter...Ch. 4.2 - Education: Violent Crime The following data are...Ch. 4.2 - Research: Patents The following data are based on...Ch. 4.2 - Archaeology: Artifacts Data for this problem are...Ch. 4.2 - Cricket Chirps: Temperature Anyone who has been...Ch. 4.2 - Expand Your Knowledge: Residual Plot The...Ch. 4.2 - Residual Plot: Miles per Gallon Consider the data...Ch. 4.2 - Expand Your knowledge: Logarithmic...Ch. 4.2 - Expand Your Knowledge: Logarithmic...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 24PCh. 4.2 - Expand Your Knowledge: Logarithmic...Ch. 4 - Terminology Consider the equation of a...Ch. 4 - Terminology Consider the values of the sample...Ch. 4 - Terminology Suppose we have a set of ordered pairs...Ch. 4 - Terminology Consider the following terms in a...Ch. 4 - Statistical Literacy Suppose the scatter diagram...Ch. 4 - Critical Thinking Suppose you and a friend each...Ch. 4 - Statistical Literacy When using the least-squares...Ch. 4 - StatisticalLiteracy Suppose that for x = 3. the...Ch. 4 - In Problems 9-14, (a) Draw a scatter diagram for...Ch. 4 - In Problems 9-14, (a) Draw a scatter diagram for...Ch. 4 - In Problems 9-14, (a) Draw a scatter diagram for...Ch. 4 - In Problems 9-14, (a) Draw a scatter diagram for...Ch. 4 - In Problems 9-14, (a) Draw a scatter diagram for...Ch. 4 - In Problems 9-14, (a) Draw a scatter diagram for...Ch. 4 - Prob. 1UTACh. 4 - Prob. 2UTACh. 4 - Prob. 3UTACh. 4 - Prob. 4UTACh. 4 - The data in this section are taken from this...Ch. 4 - The data in this section are taken from this...
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