
Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780134685113
Author: Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, David F. Stephan, Kathryn Szabat
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 4, Problem 54PS
How can you use the general
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
4. Linear Regression - Model Assumptions and Interpretation
A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
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The analyst fits the model and obtains:
•
Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
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b) Explain what the R² value tells us about the model's performance.
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5. Probability Distributions – Continuous Random Variables
A factory machine produces metal rods whose lengths (in cm) follow a continuous uniform distribution on the interval [98, 102].
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a) Define the probability density function (PDF) of the rod length.b) Calculate the probability that a randomly selected rod is shorter than 99 cm.c) Determine the expected value and variance of rod lengths.d) If a sample of 25 rods is selected, what is the probability that their average length is between 99.5 cm and 100.5 cm? Justify your answer using the appropriate distribution.
Chapter 4 Solutions
Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
Ch. 4 - Three coins are tossed. a. Give an example of a...Ch. 4 - An urn contain 12 red balls and 8 white balls. One...Ch. 4 - Consider the following contingency table: What is...Ch. 4 - Consider the following contingency table: What is...Ch. 4 - For each of the following, indicate whether the...Ch. 4 - For each of the following, state whether the...Ch. 4 - Which of the following events occur with a...Ch. 4 - Do Millennials or Gen-Xers feel more tense or...Ch. 4 - Referring to the contingency table in Problem 4.8,...Ch. 4 - How will markers change their social media use in...
Ch. 4 - Referring to the contingency table in Problem...Ch. 4 - Have the gains in student learning attributed to...Ch. 4 - Do Generation X and Boomers differ in how they use...Ch. 4 - A survey of 1,520 Americans, adults asked, “Do...Ch. 4 - Each year ratings are compiled concerning the...Ch. 4 - Consider the following contingency table: What is...Ch. 4 - Consider the following contingency table: What is...Ch. 4 - If P(AandB)=0.4andP(B)=0.8,findP(AB).Ch. 4 - Prob. 19PSCh. 4 - ...Ch. 4 - Do Millennials or Gen-Xers feel more tense...Ch. 4 - How will marketers change their social media use...Ch. 4 - Do generation X and Boomers differ in how they use...Ch. 4 - Have the grains in student learning attributed to...Ch. 4 - A survey of 1,520 Americans adults asked “Do you...Ch. 4 - Each year, rating are compiled concerning the...Ch. 4 - In 42 of the 66 years from 1950 through 2010 (in...Ch. 4 - A standard deck of cards is being used to play a...Ch. 4 - A box of nine iPhone 7 cellphones contains two red...Ch. 4 - ...Ch. 4 - ...Ch. 4 - In Example 4.10 to suppose that the probability...Ch. 4 - Big Commerce launched a study to analyze modern...Ch. 4 - Olive Construction Company is determining whether...Ch. 4 - The 2016 Global Information Security Workforce...Ch. 4 - The editor of a textbook published company is...Ch. 4 - A municipal bond service has three rating...Ch. 4 - If there are 10 multiple-choice question on an...Ch. 4 - A lock on a bank vault consists of three dials,...Ch. 4 - a. If a coin is tossed seven times, how many...Ch. 4 - A particular brand of women’s jeans is available...Ch. 4 - Prob. 42PSCh. 4 - A team is being formed that includes four...Ch. 4 - In the National Basketball League there are five...Ch. 4 - Referring to Problem 4.44 how many different...Ch. 4 - A gardener has six rows available in his vegetable...Ch. 4 - How many different ways can a senior project...Ch. 4 - Four member of a group of 10 people are to be...Ch. 4 - A student has seven books that she would like to...Ch. 4 - A daily lottery is conducted in which 2 winning...Ch. 4 - There are 15 exercise bikes in a fitness store...Ch. 4 - What are the differences between a priori...Ch. 4 - What is the difference between a simple event and...Ch. 4 - How can you use the general addition rule to find...Ch. 4 - What is the difference between mutually exclusive...Ch. 4 - How does conditional probability relate to the...Ch. 4 - How does the multiplication rule differ for events...Ch. 4 - How can you use Bayes theorem in light of new...Ch. 4 - In Bayes’ theorem, how does the prior...Ch. 4 - What is the difference between Counting Rule 1 and...Ch. 4 - What is the difference between a permutation and...Ch. 4 - A survey by Accenture indicated that 64% of...Ch. 4 - Chartered Institute of personnel and Development...Ch. 4 - To better understand the website builder market,...Ch. 4 - Content Marketing institute provides insight on...Ch. 4 - The CMO survey collects and dissemination the...
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