In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3. a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges? b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant. c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3. a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges? b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant. c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
Solution Summary: The author analyzes the probability of a guilty defendant being declared guilty, and the value of the innocent defendant.
In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3.
a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges?
b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant.
c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
b. According to the analyst, what is the probability that the
confidence score is not 1?
11. Professor Sanchez has been teaching Principles of Economics
for over 25 years. He uses the following scale for grading.
Grade
Numerical Score
Probability
A
4
0.10
B
3
0.30
C
2
0.40
D
1
0.10
F
O
0.10
a. Depict the probability distribution graphically. Comment
on whether or not the probability distribution is symmetric.
b. Convert the probability distribution to a cumulative
probability distribution.
C.
What is the probability of earning at least a B in Professor
Sanchez's course?
d. What is the probability of passing Professor Sanchez's
course?
2. Professor Khurana expects to be able to use her grant money
to fund up to two students for research assistance. While she
realizes that there is a 5% chance that she may not be able to
fund any student, there is an 80% chance that she will be able
to fund two students.
a.
What
hat is the pro
Among a student group 54% use Google Chrome, 20% Internet Explorer, 10% Firefox, 5% Mozilla, and the rest use Safari. What is the probability that you need to pick 7 students to find 2 students using Google Chrome? Report answer to 3 decimals.
Samples of rejuvenated mitochondria are mutated (defective) with a probability 0.13. Find the probability that at most one sample is mutated in 10 samples. Report answer to 3 decimal places.
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