OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT CUSTOM ACCESS
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780135622438
Author: KRAJEWSKI
Publisher: PEARSON EDUCATION (COLLEGE)
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Chapter 4, Problem 21P
A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is 6 months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be 0.30 and that of high demand to be 0.70. The after tax
If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is $120,000. If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of $120,000; (2) subcontracting, with an NPV of $140,000; and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of $130,000.
- Draw a decision tree for this problem.
- What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff?
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Chapter 4 Solutions
OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT CUSTOM ACCESS
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