Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition (13th Edition)
13th Edition
ISBN: 9780321946393
Author: Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, Kathryn A. Szabat
Publisher: PEARSON
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
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a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
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A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
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Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
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b) Explain what the R² value tells us about the model's performance.
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A factory machine produces metal rods whose lengths (in cm) follow a continuous uniform distribution on the interval [98, 102].
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Chapter 3 Solutions
Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition (13th Edition)
Ch. 3 - The following set of data is from sample of n=5:...Ch. 3 - The following set of data is from sample of n=6:...Ch. 3 - The following set of data is from sample of n=7:...Ch. 3 - The following set of data is from sample of n=5:...Ch. 3 - Suppose that the rate of return for a particular...Ch. 3 - Suppose that the rate of return for a particular...Ch. 3 - Prob. 7PSCh. 3 - The operation manager of a plant that manufactures...Ch. 3 - Prob. 9PSCh. 3 - The file FastFood contains the amount that a...
Ch. 3 - The file Sedans contains the overall miles per...Ch. 3 - The file SUV contains the overall miles per gallon...Ch. 3 - Prob. 13PSCh. 3 - Prob. 14PSCh. 3 - Is there a difference in the variation of the...Ch. 3 - Prob. 16PSCh. 3 - A bank branch located in a commercial district of...Ch. 3 - Suppose that another bank branch, location in a...Ch. 3 - Prob. 19PSCh. 3 - Prob. 20PSCh. 3 - Prob. 21PSCh. 3 - In 2009 through 2012, the value of precious metals...Ch. 3 - Prob. 23PSCh. 3 - Using the one-year return percentage variable in...Ch. 3 - Prob. 25PSCh. 3 - Prob. 26PSCh. 3 - The following is a set of data from a sample of...Ch. 3 - The following is a set of data from a sample of...Ch. 3 - The following is a set of data from a sample of...Ch. 3 - The following is a set of data from a sample of...Ch. 3 - Prob. 31PSCh. 3 - Prob. 32PSCh. 3 - The file HotelAway contains the average room price...Ch. 3 - Prob. 34PSCh. 3 - Prob. 35PSCh. 3 - A bark branch located in a commercial district of...Ch. 3 - The following is a set of data for a population...Ch. 3 - The following is a set of data for a population...Ch. 3 - Prob. 39PSCh. 3 - Consider a population of 1.024 mutual funds that...Ch. 3 - Prob. 41PSCh. 3 - Prob. 42PSCh. 3 - Thirty companies comprise the DJIA Just how big...Ch. 3 - The following is a set of data from sample of n=11...Ch. 3 - Prob. 45PSCh. 3 - Prob. 46PSCh. 3 - Movie companies need to predict the gross receipts...Ch. 3 - College football is big business, with coaches’...Ch. 3 - A Pew Research Center survey found a noticeable...Ch. 3 - What are the properties of a set of numerical...Ch. 3 - What is meant by the property of central tendency?Ch. 3 - What are the differences among the mean, median,...Ch. 3 - How do you interpret the first quartile, median,...Ch. 3 - What is meant by the property of variation?Ch. 3 - What does the Z score measure?Ch. 3 - What are the differences among the various...Ch. 3 - How does the empirical rule help explain the ways...Ch. 3 - How do the empirical rule and the Chebyshev rule...Ch. 3 - What is meant by the property of shape?Ch. 3 - What is the difference between the arithmetic mean...Ch. 3 - What is the difference between skewness and...Ch. 3 - How do the covariance and the coefficient of...Ch. 3 - The American Society for Quality (ASQ) conducted a...Ch. 3 - Prob. 64PSCh. 3 - One of the 111801 measures of the quality of...Ch. 3 - Prob. 66PSCh. 3 - Prob. 67PSCh. 3 - Prob. 68PSCh. 3 - A quality characteristic of interest for a...Ch. 3 - The manufacturer of Boston and Vermont asphalt...Ch. 3 - Prob. 71PSCh. 3 - The file Protein contains calories. protein. and...Ch. 3 - The file HotelPrices contains the prices in...Ch. 3 - Prob. 74PSCh. 3 - The file CEO-includes the total compensation...Ch. 3 - Prob. 76PSCh. 3 - Prob. 77PSCh. 3 - Prob. 78PSCh. 3 - You are planning to study for your statistics...Ch. 3 - The file DomesticBeer contains the percentage...
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