Operations Management (Comp. Instructor's Edition)
13th Edition
ISBN: 9781259948237
Author: Stevenson
Publisher: MCG
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Textbook Question
Chapter 3, Problem 15P
The manager of a fashionable restaurant open Wednesday through Saturday say that the restaurant does about 35 percent of its business on Friday night 30 percent on Saturday night, and 20 percent on Thursday night What seasonal relatives would describe this situation?
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solutionStudents have asked these similar questions
Using the following information, forecast the rooms sales for the next three months for a 750-room lodging operation:
Month Days Occupancy % Average Room Rate
Month 1 30 65 $155
Month 2 31 80 175
Month 3 30 95 185
A newly operated company producing household items would want to forecast its sales volume for the next month. It has been in operation for ten (10) months now. For the past ten (10) months, forecast and sales data for its top selling Item A are as follow:
Time Period
Forecasted Value
Actual Sales (Quantity)
10th month
405
345
9th month
400
380
8th month
410
400
7th month
370
375
6th month
330
360
5th month
320
325
4th month
320
315
3rd month
305
300
2nd month
290
295
1st month
300
280
The operations manager observes the fluctuations on the sales quantity over the 10-month period that the company is in operation. To forecast for the 11th month, the team decided to evaluate options on what forecasting method to use. Their options are:
To use the Moving Average Method using the sales data for the past 10 months,
To use the Exponential Smoothing Average assigning a smoothing constant of .6 and
To use the Trend-adjusted Exponential Smoothing assigning smoothing constants α =…
The American Baker's Association reports that annual sales of bakery goods last year rose 15 percent, driven by a 50 percent increase
in the demand for bran muffins. Most of the increase was attributed to a report that diets rich in bran help prevent certain types of
cancer. You are the manager of a bakery that produces and packages gourmet bran muffins, and you currently sell bran muffins in
packages of three. However, as a result of this new report, a typical consumer's inverse demand for your bran muffins is now P= 11
-15Q
If your cost of producing bran muffins is C(Q) = 3.5Q, determine the optimal number of bran muffins to sell in a single package and the
optimal package price.
Instructions: Enter your response for the optimal package price rounded to two decimal places.
Optimal package size:
Optimal package price: $
units
Chapter 3 Solutions
Operations Management (Comp. Instructor's Edition)
Ch. 3.15 - Prob. 1.1RQCh. 3.15 - Prob. 1.2RQCh. 3.15 - Prob. 1.3RQCh. 3 - What are the main advantage that quantitative...Ch. 3 - What are some of the consequences of poor...Ch. 3 - List the specific weaknesses of each of these...Ch. 3 - Forecasts are generally wrong a. Why are forecasts...Ch. 3 - What is the purpose of establishing control limits...Ch. 3 - What factors would you consider in deciding...Ch. 3 - Contrast the use of MAD and MSE in evaluating...
Ch. 3 - What advantages as a forecasting tool does...Ch. 3 - How does the number of periods in a moving average...Ch. 3 - What factors enter into the choice of a value for...Ch. 3 - Prob. 11DRQCh. 3 - Explain how using a centered moving average with a...Ch. 3 - Contrast the terms sales and demand.Ch. 3 - Contrast the reactive and proactive approaches to...Ch. 3 - Explain how flexibility in production systems...Ch. 3 - How is forecasting in the context of a supply...Ch. 3 - Which type of forecasting approach, qualitative or...Ch. 3 - Prob. 18DRQCh. 3 - Choose the type of forecasting technique (survey,...Ch. 3 - Explain the trade-off between responsiveness and...Ch. 3 - Who needs to be involved in preparing forecasts?Ch. 3 - How has technology had an impact on forecasting?Ch. 3 - It has been said that forecasting using...Ch. 3 - What capability would an organization have to have...Ch. 3 - When a new business is started, or a patent idea...Ch. 3 - Discuss how you would manage a poor forecast.Ch. 3 - Omar has beard from some of his customers that...Ch. 3 - Give three examples of unethical conduct involving...Ch. 3 - A commercial baker, has recorded sales (in dozens)...Ch. 3 - National Scan, Inc., sells radio frequency...Ch. 3 - A dry cleaner uses exponential smoothing to...Ch. 3 - An electrical contractors records during the last...Ch. 3 - A cosmetics manufacturer s marketing department...Ch. 3 - Prob. 6PCh. 3 - Freight car loadings ova a 12-year period at a...Ch. 3 - Air travel on Mountain Airline for the past 18...Ch. 3 - a. Obtain the linear trend equation for the...Ch. 3 - After plotting demand for four periods, an...Ch. 3 - A manager of a store that sells and installs spas...Ch. 3 - The following equation summarizes the trend...Ch. 3 - Compute seasonal relatives for this data the SA...Ch. 3 - A tourist center is open on weekends (Friday,...Ch. 3 - The manager of a fashionable restaurant open...Ch. 3 - Obtain estimates of daily relatives for the number...Ch. 3 - A pharmacist has been monitoring sales of 2...Ch. 3 - New car sales for a dealer in Cook County,...Ch. 3 - The following table shows a tool and die companys...Ch. 3 - An analyst must decide between two different...Ch. 3 - Two different forecasting techniques (F1 and F2)...Ch. 3 - Two independent methods of forecasting based on...Ch. 3 - Long-Life Insurance has developed a linear model...Ch. 3 - Timely Transport provides local delivery service...Ch. 3 - The manager of a seafood restaurant was asked to...Ch. 3 - The following data were collected during a study...Ch. 3 - Lovely Lawns Inc., intends to use sales of lawn...Ch. 3 - The manager of a travel agency has been using a...Ch. 3 - Refer to the data in problem 22 a. Compute a...Ch. 3 - The classified department of a monthly magazine...Ch. 3 - A textbook publishing company has compiled data on...Ch. 3 - A manager has just receded an valuation from an...Ch. 3 - A manager uses this equation to predict demand for...Ch. 3 - A manager uses a trend equation plus quarterly...Ch. 3 - ML MANUFACTURING ML Manufacturing makes various...Ch. 3 - ML MANUFACTURING ML Manufacturing makes various...Ch. 3 - HIGHLINE FINANCIAL SERVICES, LTD. Highline...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- which of the following would be calculated variable from other data: 1. Product Sales Price 2. Product availability 3. Coupon Availability 4. Average Customer ratingarrow_forwardNyka cosmetics is planning to launch cosmetics in teen group caterigary. However,this market is crowded with a lot of competitors already Before the launch , nykaa cosmetics is trying to estimate the potential of thier cosmetics in the market by understanding the following for the next 2 years .The proportion of current cosmetics users( in teen category)who are going to switch to nykaa cosmetics. The source of business of nykaa cosmetics is the percentage of people who would use nykaa cosmetics in 2021 who once used each of the competitors for example 40% of the nykaa cosmetic users in 2021 used to use competitor 1 in 2019 In the next years ,30% of cosmetic users in teen category will switch to nykaa cosmetics .what will be the market share graph for 2021 including the 5 competitorsarrow_forwardWhat advantages does adjusted exponential smoothing have over a linear trend line for forecasted demand that exhibits a trend?arrow_forward
- Following data on the demand for sewing machines manufactured by Taylor and Son Co. have been compiled for the past 10 years. Year 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 78 1976 1977 1978 1979 99 1980 106 Demand 58 65 73 76 87 88 93 in (1000 units) Please estimate the value of demand for next 3 years using trend analysis.arrow_forwardThe following table shows the three-period moving average and five-period moving average for monthly sales of Budget Furniture's during 2019. Moving averages of Budget Furniture's Time period Months Sales Three-period moving average (rounded off to Five-period moving average four decimals) R'millions 1 Jan 7 5.0000 6.2 February 5.6667 6.6 March 5 7.0000 B 4 April 8.3333 8.2 May 7 9.3333 8.4 June 8.3333 9.6 7 July 12 8.6667 9.6 August 4 A 9.2 September 10 10.6667 10 October 13 10.6667 11 November 9 12 December 10 The seasonal index for the month of February in 2019 is: LOarrow_forwardAfter using your forecasting model for six months, you decide to test it using a tracking signal. Here are the forecast and actual demands for the six-month period: PERIOD FORECAST ACTUAL May 450 500 June 500 550 July 550 400 August 600 500 September 650 675 October 700 600 Find the tracking signal of each montharrow_forward
- A company has the following demand history by seasons over a two-year period. The production planner deseasonalizes the data first. Then, using the exponential smoothing method with a = 0.30 and F= 80, she forecasts the demand for the first season of 2021. Finally, the planner reseasonalizes her forecast. What is her final forecast for the first season of 2021? 2019 2020 Season 1 84 88 Season 2 76 71 Season 3 93 97 Season 4 46 51 Season 5 77 73 O a. 87.50 O b. 77.57 Oc. 79.87 O d. 75.98 O e. 86.43arrow_forwardWhich forecasting model assumes that what will happen in the immediately succeeding period is most likely similar to what happened this period than to that of, say, three periods ago?arrow_forwardUse the below formula to calculate the CLV for the following: A manager of a cable company wants to determine if it is strategic to acquire the Brett family, by estimating their household-level CLV. The manager estimates that it will cost the company $80 (A) to get the Bretts’ to switch, and the Bretts’ will generate $150 profit each year (M), with a $30 annual marketing cost to retain them (C). The estimated retention rate (r) is 65%, and the current discount rate is 5%.(d) i) CLV= ii) Based on your calculation, are the Brett’s profitable to the cable company?arrow_forward
- Urgently needarrow_forwardA firm's short-term forecast helps top management in preparing a company budget. True or False True False < Prev 10 of 10 Next 27 28 tv Sarrow_forwardSmart Phone covers sales for the past 12 months is given below. Management forecast's for the months of March, April, May, and June are listed Month Unit Sales Management's Forecast Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 100 95 95 112 126 118 95 85 101 94 89 110 122 114 108 112 a) What is the MAD for the forecast developed by management sales (round your response to two decimal places) What in the MAPE for the forecast developed by management % (round your response to two decimal places). %3Darrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
- Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,Contemporary MarketingMarketingISBN:9780357033777Author:Louis E. Boone, David L. KurtzPublisher:Cengage Learning
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,
Contemporary Marketing
Marketing
ISBN:9780357033777
Author:Louis E. Boone, David L. Kurtz
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Single Exponential Smoothing & Weighted Moving Average Time Series Forecasting; Author: Matt Macarty;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjETktmL4Kg;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY
Introduction to Forecasting - with Examples; Author: Dr. Bharatendra Rai;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98K7AG32qv8;License: Standard Youtube License