Introductory Combinatorics
5th Edition
ISBN: 9780134689616
Author: Brualdi, Richard A.
Publisher: Pearson,
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Chapter 3, Problem 15E
To determine
To prove: For any
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
Chapter 3 Solutions
Introductory Combinatorics
Ch. 3 - Prob. 1ECh. 3 - Prob. 2ECh. 3 - Prob. 3ECh. 3 - Prob. 4ECh. 3 - Prob. 5ECh. 3 - Prob. 6ECh. 3 - Prob. 7ECh. 3 - Use the pigeonhole principle to prove that the...Ch. 3 - Prob. 9ECh. 3 - A child watches TV at least one hour each day for...
Ch. 3 - A student has 37 days to prepare for an...Ch. 3 - Show by example that the conclusion of the Chinese...Ch. 3 - *Let S be a set of six points in the plane, with...Ch. 3 - Prob. 14ECh. 3 - Prove that, for any n + 1 integers a1, a2,…,an+1,...Ch. 3 - Prob. 16ECh. 3 - There are 100 people at a party. Each person has...Ch. 3 - Prove that of any five points chosen within a...Ch. 3 - Prove that of any five points chosen within an...Ch. 3 - Prove that r(3, 3, 3) ≤ 17.
Ch. 3 - Prove that r(3, 3, 3) ≥ 17 by exhibiting a...Ch. 3 - Prob. 22ECh. 3 - Prob. 23ECh. 3 - Prob. 24ECh. 3 - Prob. 25ECh. 3 - Prob. 26ECh. 3 - A collection of subsets of {1, 2, …, n} has the...Ch. 3 - At a dance party there are 100 men and 20 women....Ch. 3 - Prob. 29E
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