Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Office Excel (with XLSTAT Education Edition Printed Access Card)
6th Edition
ISBN: 9780357228708
Author: David R. Anderson; Dennis J. Sweeney; Thomas A. Williams
Publisher: Cengage Learning US
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Chapter 20.3, Problem 9E
A real estate investor has the opportunity to purchase land currently zoned residential. If the county board approves a request to rezone the property as commercial within the next year, the investor will be able to lease the land to a large discount firm that wants to open a new store on the property. However, if the zoning change is not approved, the investor will have to sell the property at a loss. Profits (in thousands of dollars) are shown in the following payoff table.
| State of Nature | ||
| Rezoning Approved | Rezoning Not Approved | |
| Decision Alternative | s1 | s2 |
| Purchase, d1 | 600 | −200 |
| Do not purchase, d2 | 0 | 0 |
- a. If the
probability that the rezoning will be approved is .5, what decision is recommended? What is the expected profit? - b. The investor can purchase an option to buy the land. Under the option, the investor maintains the rights to purchase the land anytime during the next three months while learning more about possible resistance to the rezoning proposal from area residents. Probabilities are as follows.
Let H = high resistance to rezoning
L = low resistance to rezoning
| P(H) = .55 | P(s1 | H) = .18 | P(s2 | H) = .82 |
| P(L) = .45 | P(s1 | L) = .89 | P(s2 | L) = .11 |
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Chapter 20 Solutions
Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Office Excel (with XLSTAT Education Edition Printed Access Card)
Ch. 20.2 - Prob. 1ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 2ECh. 20.2 - 3. Hudson Corporation is considering three options...Ch. 20.2 - 4. Myrtle Air Express decided to offer direct...Ch. 20.2 - 5. The distance from Potsdam to larger markets and...Ch. 20.2 - 6. Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for...Ch. 20.2 - 7. The Lake Placid Town Council has decided to...Ch. 20.3 - Consider a variation of the PDC decision tree...Ch. 20.3 - 9. A real estate investor has the opportunity to...Ch. 20.3 - Dante Development Corporation is considering...
Ch. 20.3 - 11. Hale’s TV Productions is considering producing...Ch. 20.3 - 12. Martin’s Service Station is considering...Ch. 20.3 - 13. Lawson’s Department Store faces a buying...Ch. 20.4 - Prob. 14ECh. 20.4 - 15. In the following profit payoff table for a...Ch. 20.4 - 16. To save on expenses, Rona and Jerry agreed to...Ch. 20.4 - 17. The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide...Ch. 20 - Prob. 18SECh. 20 - 19. Warren Lloyd is interested in leasing a new...Ch. 20 - Hemmingway, Inc., is considering a $50 million...Ch. 20 - 21. Embassy Publishing Company received a...Ch. 20 - Case Problem Lawsuit Defense Strategy
John...
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