EBK STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES IN BUSINESS
17th Edition
ISBN: 9781259924163
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCGRAW HILL BOOK COMPANY
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Chapter 20, Problem 7E
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- Q3. Suppose that the market default rate for bonds is given by 0.01, i.e., the probability the market believes that the company may not be able to pay the owner of the bonds is 0.01. Now a credit default swap (CDS) is sold at fair price $ 0.01 per unit. Ackman expects that the true default rate is 0.05, not 0.01. Ackman bought 67 billion units of CDS at the price $ 0.01 per unit. a. Suppose that Ackeman's expectation about the default rate is not correct. I.e., the true default rate for bonds is given by 0.01. Find the cost of the purchase. Find the expected payoff. Find the profit. b. Suppose that Ackeman's expectation is correct. Find the cost of the purchase. Find the expected payoff. Find the profit.arrow_forwardQ2arrow_forward3. What would be the yearly premium for a $50,000 insurance policy against accidental household flood if the likelihood of an accidental household flood is estimated to be 0.005 and the company wishes to have a yearly expected gain of $2000? a. $2, 250. b. $2,550. c. $2,500. d. $2,520. 4. A manufacturer of electronic equipment buys spare parts for replacement and repairs in lots of one-thousand from the supplier. The manufacturer uses these spare parts to fix items under warrantee. Past historical records show that the probability of any one spare part being defective is unlikely and assumed to be one in one-thousand. In a shipment of one-thousand spare parts the probability of two defectives is a. 0.148. b. 0.184. c. 0.366. d. 0.386. 5. What is the probability of getting exactly three heads in five flips of a balance coin? a. 5/16 b. 3/16 c. 7/16 d. 9/16arrow_forward
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- If the expected return on the market is 8% and the risk free rate is 4% and the expected return is 12%, what is the market risk premium ?arrow_forwardThe government is attempting to determine whetherimmigrants should be tested for a contagious disease. Let’sassume that the decision will be made on a financial basis.Assume that each immigrant who is allowed into the countryand has the disease costs the United States $100,000, andeach immigrant who enters and does not have the diseasewill contribute $10,000 to the national economy. Assumethat 10% of all potential immigrants have the disease. Thegovernment may admit all immigrants, admit no immigrants,or test immigrants for the disease before determiningwhether they should be admitted. It costs $100 to test aperson for the disease; the test result is either positive ornegative. If the test result is positive, the person definitelyhas the disease. However, 20% of all people who do havethe disease test negative. A person who does not have thedisease always tests negative. The government’s goal is tomaximize (per potential immigrant) expected benefits minusexpected costs. Use a decision…arrow_forwardHi! I was working on the question below: The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a financial model that assumes returns on a portfolio are normally distributed. Suppose a portfolio has an average annual return of 14.7% (i.e. an average gain of 14.7%) with a standard deviation of 33%. A return of 0% means the value of the portfolio doesn’t change, a negative return means that the portfolio loses money, and a positive return means that the portfolio gains money. And question (a) looks like: What percent of years does this portfolio lose money, i.e. have a return less than 0%? I got a z-score of -0.4455, which corresponds to the p value of 0.3264 on the z-table; I don't understand why the correct answer should be 0.3280 as said by one of the solutions, and I cannot locate such a number on the z-table. Thank you so much!arrow_forward
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