STATISTICAL TECH IN BUSN CONNECT <LCPO>
STATISTICAL TECH IN BUSN CONNECT <LCPO>
18th Edition
ISBN: 9781266505942
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG
Question
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Chapter 18, Problem 31CE

a.

To determine

To graph: The provided data set:

b.

To determine

To describe: The pattern of the time series.

c.

To determine

To explain: The reason for the appropriateness of using trend model in the provided case.

d.

To determine

To evaluate: The seasonally adjusted trend forecasting model. Also, find the MAD.

e.

To determine

To find: The predicted annual change of industry sales

f.

To determine

To find: The predicted sales for next 3 months.

h.

To determine

To explain: If the made forecasts are good or not.

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In order to find probability, you can use this formula in Microsoft Excel: The best way to understand and solve these problems is by first drawing a bell curve and marking key points such as x, the mean, and the areas of interest. Once marked on the bell curve, figure out what calculations are needed to find the area of interest. =NORM.DIST(x, Mean, Standard Dev., TRUE). When the question mentions “greater than” you may have to subtract your answer from 1. When the question mentions “between (two values)”, you need to do separate calculation for both values and then subtract their results to get the answer. 1.  Compute the probability of a value between 44.0 and 55.0. (The question requires finding probability value between 44 and 55. Solve it in 3 steps. In the first step, use the above formula and x = 44, calculate probability value. In the second step repeat the first step with the only difference that x=55. In the third step, subtract the answer of the first part from the…
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