Gen Combo Ll Statistical Techniques In Business And Economics; Connect Ac
Gen Combo Ll Statistical Techniques In Business And Economics; Connect Ac
17th Edition
ISBN: 9781260149623
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG
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Chapter 18, Problem 25CE

a.

To determine

Determine the specific seasonal for July, August, September and October 2012.

b.

To determine

Determine the 12 typical seasonal indexes.

c.

To determine

Interpret the typical seasonal index.

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John Kittle, an independent insurance agent, uses a five-year moving average to forecast the number of claims made in a single year for one of the large insurance companies he sells for. He has just discovered that a clerk in his employ incorrectly entered the number of claims made four years ago as 1,400 when it should have been 1,200.a. What adjustment should Mr. Kittle make in next year’s forecast to take into account the corrected value of the number of claims four years ago?b. Suppose that Mr. Kittle used simple exponential smoothing with a = .2instead of moving averages to determine his forecast. What adjustment is now required in next year’s forecast? (Note that you do not need to know the value of the forecast for next year in order to solve this problem.)
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