STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES FOR BUSINESS AND
STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES FOR BUSINESS AND
17th Edition
ISBN: 9781307261158
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG/CREATE
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Chapter 18, Problem 23CE

a.

To determine

Plot the data.

b.

To determine

Determine the least squares trend equation.

Determine the logarithmic trend equation.

Identify the most accurate forecast.

c.

To determine

Calculate the points for the years 2001 and 2006.

d.

To determine

Estimate the selling price in 2018.

e.

To determine

Observe the average amount of increase or decrease in stock price during the period.

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Siena Ltd attempts to find the trend of its sales over the past five years. Siena is considering which model that best represent the trends of its sales. Following are the result of linear and exponential model trend analysis:  a. Calculate the MSE and MAD for the linear trend model  b. Calculate the MSE and MAD for the exponential trend model  c. Which model that performs better
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Price/Book Value Ratio Return on Equity 13.032 1.405 8.305 2.113 6.654 1.239 3.262 2.449 5.291 2.398 7.719 0.353 2.569 7.593 5.104 2.012 4.797 2.182 4.129 1.918 1.549 1.951 5.046 2.417 2.159 3.011 1.725 5.582 4.698 Growth% 6.385 11.846 135.669 12.459 0.073 25.092 14.188 8.804 22.766 38.082 18.985 25.696 24.519 19.666 11.624 22.849 49.965 69.649 36.696 3.819 41.139 9.218 29.108 17.772 25.114 29.295 23.764 31.405 9.497 14.759 18.541 12.026 39.016 14.228 39.439 14.097 27.022 14.841 13.237 20.669 17.311 14.887 15.849 5.601 16.775 11.172 8.401 16.161 18.404 23.973 16.673 14.725 46.605 28.839 52.021
No need to answer everything! Just plot the actual visitors and the forecasts. Compare the accuracy of the forecasts in the 1985 to 1990 period with those subsequent to that period.
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