Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics
Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics
18th Edition
ISBN: 9781260579611
Author: Douglas Lind; William Marchal; Samuel Wathen
Publisher: MCGRAW-HILL HIGHER EDUCATION
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Chapter 18, Problem 14E

a.

To determine

To draw: The graph of the provided time series data and draw the observations.

b.

To determine

To describe: The time series pattern.

c.

To determine

To explain: The reason that forecasting with a trend model is appropriate for the given time series.

d.

To determine

To calculate: A trend forecasting model using simple linear regression and the MAD.

e.

To determine

To state: The predicted annual change of industry sales.

f.

To determine

To calculate: The sales for the next three periods.

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iid 1. The CLT provides an approximate sampling distribution for the arithmetic average Ỹ of a random sample Y₁, . . ., Yn f(y). The parameters of the approximate sampling distribution depend on the mean and variance of the underlying random variables (i.e., the population mean and variance). The approximation can be written to emphasize this, using the expec- tation and variance of one of the random variables in the sample instead of the parameters μ, 02: YNEY, · (1 (EY,, varyi n For the following population distributions f, write the approximate distribution of the sample mean. (a) Exponential with rate ẞ: f(y) = ß exp{−ßy} 1 (b) Chi-square with degrees of freedom: f(y) = ( 4 ) 2 y = exp { — ½/ } г( (c) Poisson with rate λ: P(Y = y) = exp(-\} > y! y²
2. Let Y₁,……., Y be a random sample with common mean μ and common variance σ². Use the CLT to write an expression approximating the CDF P(Ỹ ≤ x) in terms of µ, σ² and n, and the standard normal CDF Fz(·).
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