Statistics for Business & Economics
12th Edition
ISBN: 9781285528830
Author: David R. Anderson
Publisher: Cengage Learning US
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Videos
Textbook Question
Chapter 17.6, Problem 36E
Refer to exercise 35.
- a. Deseasonalize the time series using the adjusted seasonal indexes computed in part (c) of exercise 35.
- b. Using Minitab or Excel, compute the linear trend regression equation for the deseasonalized data.
- c. Compute the deseasonalized quarterly trend forecast for year 4.
- d. Use the seasonal indexes to adjust the deseasonalized trend forecasts computed in part (c).
35. Consider the following time series data.
- a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?
- b. Show the four-quarter and centered moving average values for this time series.
- c. Compute seasonal indexes and adjusted seasonal indexes for the four quarters.
Expert Solution & Answer
Trending nowThis is a popular solution!
Students have asked these similar questions
Monthly sales have been found to follow a linear trend of y = 10 + 8x, where y is the number of items sold and x is the number of the month. Monthly deviations from the trend have been calculated and follow an additive model. In month 12, the seasonal variation is estimated to be -6.
What is the forecasted number of items to be sold in month 12?
Use regression analysis to estimate a linear trend line for annual sales.
Please do it in Excell..
Chapter 17 Solutions
Statistics for Business & Economics
Ch. 17.2 - Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2...Ch. 17.2 - Refer to the time series data in exercise 1. Using...Ch. 17.2 - Exercises 1 and 2 used different forecasting...Ch. 17.2 - Consider the following time series data. Month 1 2...Ch. 17.3 - Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2...Ch. 17.3 - Consider the following time series data. Month 1 2...Ch. 17.3 - Refer to the gasoline sales time series data in...Ch. 17.3 - Refer again to the gasoline sales time series data...Ch. 17.3 - With the gasoline time series data from Table...Ch. 17.3 - With a smoothing constant of = .2, equation...
Ch. 17.3 - For the Hawkins Company, the monthly percentages...Ch. 17.3 - Corporate triple-A bond interest rates for 12...Ch. 17.3 - The values of Alabama building contracts (in ...Ch. 17.3 - The following time series shows the sales of a...Ch. 17.3 - Ten weeks of data on the Commodity Futures Index...Ch. 17.3 - The U.S. Census Bureau tracks the median price for...Ch. 17.4 - Consider the following time series data. a....Ch. 17.4 - Prob. 18ECh. 17.4 - Consider the following time series. a. Construct a...Ch. 17.4 - Prob. 20ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 21ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 22ECh. 17.4 - The president of a small manufacturing firm is...Ch. 17.4 - FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), a database...Ch. 17.4 - Automobile unit sales at B. J. Scott Motors, Inc.,...Ch. 17.4 - Giovanni Food Products produces and sells frozen...Ch. 17.4 - Prob. 27ECh. 17.5 - Consider the following time series. a. Construct a...Ch. 17.5 - Consider the following time series data. a....Ch. 17.5 - The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold)...Ch. 17.5 - Air pollution control specialists in southern...Ch. 17.5 - South Shore Construction builds permanent docks...Ch. 17.5 - Prob. 33ECh. 17.5 - Three years of monthly lawn-maintenance expenses...Ch. 17.6 - Consider the following time series data. a....Ch. 17.6 - Refer to exercise 35. a. Deseasonalize the time...Ch. 17.6 - The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold)...Ch. 17.6 - Three years of monthly lawn-maintenance expenses...Ch. 17.6 - Air pollution control specialists in southern...Ch. 17.6 - Electric power consumption is measured in...Ch. 17 - The weekly demand (in cases) for a particular...Ch. 17 - The following table reports the percentage of...Ch. 17 - United Dairies. Inc., supplies milk to several...Ch. 17 - Prob. 44SECh. 17 - Prob. 45SECh. 17 - The Mayfair Department Store in Davenport, Iowa,...Ch. 17 - Canton Supplies, Inc., is a service firm that...Ch. 17 - The Costello Music Company has been in business...Ch. 17 - Consider the Costello Music Company problem in...Ch. 17 - Refer to the Costello Music Company problem in...Ch. 17 - Refer to the Costello Music Company time series in...Ch. 17 - Hudson Marine has been an authorized dealer for CD...Ch. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine problem in exercise 52....Ch. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine problem in exercise 53....Ch. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine data in exercise 53. a....Ch. 17 - Forecasting Food and Beverage Sales The Vintage...Ch. 17 - Forecasting Lost Sales The Carlson Department...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, statistics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- The US. import of wine (in hectoliters) for several years is given in Table 5. Determine whether the trend appearslinear. Ifso, and assuming the trend continues, in what year will imports exceed 12,000 hectoliters?arrow_forwardLife Expectancy The following table shows the average life expectancy, in years, of a child born in the given year42 Life expectancy 2005 77.6 2007 78.1 2009 78.5 2011 78.7 2013 78.8 a. Find the equation of the regression line, and explain the meaning of its slope. b. Plot the data points and the regression line. c. Explain in practical terms the meaning of the slope of the regression line. d. Based on the trend of the regression line, what do you predict as the life expectancy of a child born in 2019? e. Based on the trend of the regression line, what do you predict as the life expectancy of a child born in 1580?2300arrow_forwardThe U.S. Census tracks the percentage of persons 25 years or older who are college graduates. That data forseveral years is given in Table 4[14]. Determine whether the trend appears linear. If so, and assuming the trendcontinues. in what year will the percentage exceed 35%?arrow_forward
- What does the y -intercept on the graph of a logistic equation correspond to for a population modeled by that equation?arrow_forwardOlympic Pole Vault The graph in Figure 7 indicates that in recent years the winning Olympic men’s pole vault height has fallen below the value predicted by the regression line in Example 2. This might have occurred because when the pole vault was a new event there was much room for improvement in vaulters’ performances, whereas now even the best training can produce only incremental advances. Let’s see whether concentrating on more recent results gives a better predictor of future records. (a) Use the data in Table 2 (page 176) to complete the table of winning pole vault heights shown in the margin. (Note that we are using x=0 to correspond to the year 1972, where this restricted data set begins.) (b) Find the regression line for the data in part ‚(a). (c) Plot the data and the regression line on the same axes. Does the regression line seem to provide a good model for the data? (d) What does the regression line predict as the winning pole vault height for the 2012 Olympics? Compare this predicted value to the actual 2012 winning height of 5.97 m, as described on page 177. Has this new regression line provided a better prediction than the line in Example 2?arrow_forwardFind the equation of the regression line for the following data set. x 1 2 3 y 0 3 4arrow_forward
- What is the forecast, including both trend and seasonality, for the fourth quarter of 2021. The regression equation is Y = 507.20 + 23X. X is for time period with time period 1 being first quarter 2021. The seasonal index is: 1QT = 0.76, 2QT = 1.20, 3QT = 0.68 (Please keep 2 decimal for your answer) Your Answer: Answer forrect order.arrow_forwardThe accompanying table gives the stock market indices for a certain company on the stock market. Use simple linear regression to forecast the data. What would be the forecasts for the next three days? Click the icon to view the stock market indices for the company on the stock market. Select the graph that shows the correct trendline forecast for the given data. O Click here to view the graph d. O Click here to view the graph b. • Click here to view the graph a. O Click here to view the graph c What would be the forecast for the next three days? (Round to two decimal places as needed.) Index Date 10/2/2010 10/3/2010 10/4/2010 B F G A H Date Index 9/3/2010 10448.19 9/7/2010 10340.44 9/8/2010 10386.08 9/9/2010 10414.94 9/10/2010 10461.14 9/13/2010 10545.98 9/14/2010 10527.68 9/15/2010 10574.14 0 9/16/2010 10596.74 1 9/17/2010 10606.46 2 9/20/2010 10752.05 3 9/21/2010 10759.95 4 9/22/2010 10738.52 5 9/23/2010 10661.03 16 9/24/2010 10859.59 17 9/27/2010 10810.12 18 9/28/2010 10856.59 19…arrow_forwardAssume that the current date is February 1, 2021. The linear regression model was applied to a monthly time series data based on the last 24 months' sales. (From January 2019 through December 2020). The following partial computer output summarizes the results. Coefficient Estimate t Intercept 4.3 2.07 Slope 1.6 2.98 Determine the predicted sales for February.arrow_forward
- Describe three approaches to modeling seasonality in a regression forecast.arrow_forwardRefer to the Buena School bus data. Develop a regression equation that expresses the relationship between age of the bus and maintenance. The age of the bus is the inde- pendent variable. Draw a scatter diagram. What does this diagram suggest as to the relationship between the two variables? Is it direct or indirect? Does it appear to be strong or weak? Develop a regression equation. How much does an additional year add to the main- tenance cost. What is the estimated maintenance cost for a 10-year-old bus? Conduct a test of hypothesis to determine whether the slope of the regression line is greater than zero. Use the .05 significance level. Interpret your findings from parts (a), (b), and (c) in a brief report.arrow_forwardI have this much done, but need help with E, i,ii,iii Which asks: Choose a year other than the one from part 2c. A birth year or the first year might be a good choice(I picked 1990) .i. Use the trend line equation to estimate the y-value for the year of your choice. Find the relative change in the y-value for your chosen year compared to the last year’s value you found in part 2c iii. Interpret the meaning of your relative change value. F.Should we use the trend line model to estimate the y-value for 2020? Why or why not? Note: Hey there! Thank you for the question. As you have posted multiple sub-parts, we have helped you solve the first three parts, according to our policy. Please re-post the other parts with complete background information. Step 2 Calculation: As it is required to build a scatterplot with a trendline, we need to use Excel, where this feature is available. The independent or predictor variable is year, which we have denoted as x, and the dependent…arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Functions and Change: A Modeling Approach to Coll...AlgebraISBN:9781337111348Author:Bruce Crauder, Benny Evans, Alan NoellPublisher:Cengage Learning
College AlgebraAlgebraISBN:9781305115545Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage Learning
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...AlgebraISBN:9780079039897Author:CarterPublisher:McGraw Hill
Algebra and Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)AlgebraISBN:9781305071742Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage Learning
Big Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu...AlgebraISBN:9781680331141Author:HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURTPublisher:Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
Functions and Change: A Modeling Approach to Coll...
Algebra
ISBN:9781337111348
Author:Bruce Crauder, Benny Evans, Alan Noell
Publisher:Cengage Learning
College Algebra
Algebra
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...
Algebra
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:McGraw Hill
Algebra and Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)
Algebra
ISBN:9781305071742
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Big Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu...
Algebra
ISBN:9781680331141
Author:HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT
Publisher:Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
Time Series Analysis Theory & Uni-variate Forecasting Techniques; Author: Analytics University;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_X5q9FYLGxM;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY
Operations management 101: Time-series, forecasting introduction; Author: Brandoz Foltz;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EaqZP36ool8;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY