Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781337106665
Author: Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 17, Problem 4MC
To determine
The expected
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Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
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- A drug company is considering investing $100 million today to bring a weight loss pill to the market. At the end of one year, the firm will know the payoff; there is a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a high price and generate $37 million per year of profit forever and a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a low price and generate $1 million per year of profit forever. The interest rate is 10%. Suppose the firm decides to wait one year to determine whether the pill will sell at a high or low price. The firm will not invest if it learns that the pill will sell at a low price. What is the net present value of waiting one year to make the investment? $107.44 million $64.5 million $201.22 million $88 millionarrow_forwardSuppose that you have two opportunities to invest $1M. The first will increase the amount invested by 50% with a probability of 0.6 or decrease it with a probability of 0.4. The second will increase it by 5% for certain. You wish to split the $1M between the two opportunities. Let x be the amount invested in the first opportunity with (1-x) invested in the second. Find the optimal value of x. Using expected value as the criterion (linear utility) Using the flowing utility function: u(x)=2.3 ln〖(1+4.5x)arrow_forwardSuppose you have a house worth $200,000 (wealth). Your utility of wealth is given by U(w) = ln(w). There is a small chance that a fire will damage your house causing a loss of $75,000. You estimate there is a 2% chance of fire. a) What is your expected wealth? b) What is your expected utility from owning the house? c) Suppose you can add a fire detection/prevention system to your house. This would reduce the chance of a bad event to 0 but it would cost you $C to install. What is the most you are willing to pay for the security system? (Here is an identity you will find usefularrow_forward
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