Mathematical Statistics with Applications
Mathematical Statistics with Applications
7th Edition
ISBN: 9780495110811
Author: Dennis Wackerly, William Mendenhall, Richard L. Scheaffer
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 16.2, Problem 6E

Suppose that Y is a binomial random variable based on n trials and success probability p (this is the case for the virulent-disease example in Section 16.1). Use the conjugate beta prior with parameters α and β to derive the posterior distribution of p | y. Compare this posterior with that found in Example 16.1.

EXAMPLE 16.1 Let Y1, Y2, …, Yn denote a random sample from a Bernoulli distribution where P(Yi = 1) = p and P(Yi = 0) = 1 − p and assume that the prior distribution for p is beta (α, β). Find the posterior distribution for p.

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30. An individual who has automobile insurance from a certain company is randomly selected. Let Y be the num- ber of moving violations for which the individual was cited during the last 3 years. The pmf of Y isy      | 1       2      4       8      16p(y) | .05   .10   .35   .40   .10 a.Compute E(Y).b. Suppose an individual with Y violations incurs a surcharge of $100Y^2. Calculate the expected amount of the surcharge.
24. An insurance company offers its policyholders a num- ber of different premium payment options. For a ran- domly selected policyholder, let X = the number of months between successive payments. The cdf of X is as follows: F(x)=0.00  :  x < 10.30  :  1≤x<30.40  :  3≤ x < 40.45  :  4≤ x <60.60  :  6≤ x < 121.00  :  12≤ x a. What is the pmf of X?b. Using just the cdf, compute P(3≤ X ≤6) and P(4≤ X).
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