Excursions in Modern Mathematics, Books a la carte edition (9th Edition)
9th Edition
ISBN: 9780134469041
Author: Peter Tannenbaum
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 16, Problem 68E
An insurance company plans to sell a $250,000 one-year term life insurance policy to a 60-year-old male. Of 2.5 million men having similar risk factors, the company estimates that 7500 of them will die in the next year. What is the premium that the insurance company should charge if it would like to make a profit of $50 on each policy?
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Module Code: MATH380202
3. (a) Let {} be a white noise process with variance σ2.
Define an ARMA(p,q) process {X} in terms of {+} and state (without proof)
conditions for {X} to be (i) weakly stationary and (ii) invertible.
Define what is meant by an ARIMA (p, d, q) process. Let {Y} be such an ARIMA(p, d, q)
process and show how it can also be represented as an ARMA process, giving the
AR and MA orders of this representation.
(b) The following tables show the first nine sample autocorrelations and partial auto-
correlations of X and Y₁ = VX+ for a series of n = 1095 observations. (Notice
that the notation in this part has no relationship with the notation in part (a) of
this question.)
Identify a model for this time series and obtain preliminary estimates for the pa-
rameters of your model.
X₁
= 15.51, s² = 317.43.
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Pk
0.981
0.974
0.968
akk 0.981 0.327
8
9
0.927
0.963 0.957 0.951 0.943 0.935
0.121 0.104 0.000 0.014 -0.067 -0.068 -0.012
Y₁ = VX : y = 0.03, s² = 11.48.
k
1…
Let G be a graph with n ≥ 2 vertices x1, x2, . . . , xn, and let A be the adjacency matrixof G. Prove that if G is connected, then every entry in the matrix A^n−1 + A^nis positive.
Module Code: MATH380202
1. (a) Define the terms "strongly stationary" and "weakly stationary".
Let {X} be a stochastic process defined for all t € Z. Assuming that {X+} is
weakly stationary, define the autocorrelation function (acf) Pk, for lag k.
What conditions must a process {X+) satisfy for it to be white noise?
(b) Let N(0, 1) for t€ Z, with the {+} being mutually independent. Which of
the following processes {X+} are weakly stationary for t> 0? Briefly justify your
answers.
i. Xt for all > 0.
ii. Xo~N(0,) and X₁ = 2X+-1+ &t for t > 0.
(c) Provide an expression for estimating the autocovariance function for a sample
X1,..., X believed to be from a weakly stationary process. How is the autocor-
relation function Pk then estimated, and a correlogram (or acf plot) constructed?
(d) Consider the weakly stationary stochastic process ✗+ = + + +-1+ +-2 where
{E} is a white noise process with variance 1. Compute the population autocorre-
lation function Pk for all k = 0, 1, ....
Chapter 16 Solutions
Excursions in Modern Mathematics, Books a la carte edition (9th Edition)
Ch. 16 - Using set notation, write out the sample space for...Ch. 16 - Using set notation, write out the sample space for...Ch. 16 - Using set notation, write out the sample space for...Ch. 16 - Using set notation, write out the sample space for...Ch. 16 - The board of directors of Fibber Corporation has...Ch. 16 - You reach into a large jar containing jelly beans...Ch. 16 - In Exerxises 7 through 10, the sample spaces are...Ch. 16 - In Exerxises 7 through 10, the sample spaces are...Ch. 16 - Prob. 9ECh. 16 - In Exerxises 7 through 10, the sample spaces are...
Ch. 16 - A coin is tossed three times in a row The...Ch. 16 - A student randomly guesses the answers to a...Ch. 16 - A pair of dice is rolled. The observation is the...Ch. 16 - A card is drawn out of a standard deck of 52...Ch. 16 - A coin is tossed 10 times in a row. The...Ch. 16 - Five candidates (A,B,C,D,andE) have a chance to be...Ch. 16 - A California license plate starts with a digit...Ch. 16 - A computer password consists of four letters A...Ch. 16 - Jack packs two pairs of shoes, one pair of boots,...Ch. 16 - A French restaurant offers a menu consisting of...Ch. 16 - A set of reference books consists of eight volumes...Ch. 16 - Nine people four men and five women line up at a...Ch. 16 - 7. Nine people four men and five women line up at...Ch. 16 - Prob. 24ECh. 16 - Determine the number of outcomes N in each sample...Ch. 16 - Determine the number of outcomes N in each sample...Ch. 16 - In Exercises 27 through 30, you are asked to give...Ch. 16 - In Exercises 27 through 30, you are asked to give...Ch. 16 - In Exercises 27 through 30, you are asked to give...Ch. 16 - In Exercises 27 through 30, you are asked to give...Ch. 16 - A major league baseball team roster consists of 40...Ch. 16 - Bob has 20 different dress shirts in his wardrobe....Ch. 16 - Consider the sample space S={o1,o2,o3,o4,o5}....Ch. 16 - Consider the sample space S={o1,o2,o3,o4}. Suppose...Ch. 16 - Four candidates are running for mayor of...Ch. 16 - Seven horses A, B, C, D, E, F, and G are running...Ch. 16 - An honest coin is tossed three times in a row....Ch. 16 - A student randomly guesses the answers to a...Ch. 16 - A pair of honest dice is rolled. Find the...Ch. 16 - A card is drawn at random out of a well-shuffled...Ch. 16 - An honest coin is tossed 10 times in a row. Find...Ch. 16 - Five candidates A, B, C, D, and E have a chance to...Ch. 16 - A student takes a 10-question true-or-false quiz...Ch. 16 - Suppose that the probability of giving birth to a...Ch. 16 - The Tasmania State University glee club has 15...Ch. 16 - Ten professional basketball teams are...Ch. 16 - An honest coin is tossed 10 times in a row. The...Ch. 16 - Imagine a game in which you roll an honest die...Ch. 16 - Find the odds of each of the following events. a....Ch. 16 - Find the odds of each of the following events. a....Ch. 16 - In each case, find the probability of an event E...Ch. 16 - In each case, find the probability of an event E...Ch. 16 - Prob. 53ECh. 16 - Table 16-19 shows the aggregate scores of a golf...Ch. 16 - At Thomas Jefferson High School, the student body...Ch. 16 - In 2005 the Middletown Zoo averaged 4000 visitors...Ch. 16 - Prob. 57ECh. 16 - A basketball player shoots two consecutive free...Ch. 16 - Prob. 59ECh. 16 - A pair of honest dice is rolled once. Find the...Ch. 16 - Suppose that you roll a pair of honest dice. If...Ch. 16 - On an American roulette wheel, there are 18 red...Ch. 16 - On an American roulette wheel, there are 38...Ch. 16 - Suppose that you roll a single die. If an odd...Ch. 16 - Prob. 65ECh. 16 - Jackie is buying a new MP3 player from Better Buy....Ch. 16 - The service history of the Prego SUV is as...Ch. 16 - An insurance company plans to sell a 250,000...Ch. 16 - The ski club at Tasmania State University has 35...Ch. 16 - Prob. 70ECh. 16 - Prob. 71ECh. 16 - Two teams call them X and Y play against each...Ch. 16 - An urn contains seven red balls and three blue...Ch. 16 - Prob. 74ECh. 16 - Prob. 75ECh. 16 - A draw poker hand consists of 5 cards taken from a...Ch. 16 - Prob. 77ECh. 16 - Prob. 78ECh. 16 - Yahtzee. Yahtzee is a dice game in which five...Ch. 16 - In head-to-head, 7-card stud poker you make your...
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