Concept explainers
A
To calculate: The expected price of the 4-year bond at the end of the first year, second year, third year and fourth year are to be determined.
Introduction: When the forward rates are equal to the market expectation rates is called as expectation hypothesis. The expected
A
Answer to Problem 8PS
The expected price of the 4-year bond is shown as −
Beginning of the year | Expected price |
1 | $792.16 |
2 | $839.69 |
3 | $881.68 |
4 | $934.58 |
Explanation of Solution
Expectations theory is the long term interest rate that predicts the short term interest rates. It suggests the investor gets same interest by investing in two different investment having diffrent maturity period.At this condition liquidity premium is zero.
The following method will be used for the calculation of the Yield to maturity (YTM) and the forward rate −
Maturity | Price of bond | YTM | Forward rate |
1 | $943.40 | ||
2 | $898.47 | ||
3 | $847.62 | ||
4 | $792.16 |
On calculation, the values of forward rate and YTM is given as −
Maturity | Price of bond | YTM | Forward rate |
1 | $943.40 | 6.00% | 6.00% |
2 | $898.47 | 5.50% | 5.00% |
3 | $847.62 | 5.67% | 6.00% |
4 | $792.16 | 6.00% | 7.00% |
Now, the following method will be used for the calculation of the expected price −
Beginning of the year | Expected price calculation | Expected price |
1 | $792.16 | $792.16 |
2 | $839.69 | |
3 | $881.68 | |
4 | $934.58 |
The expected price of the 4-year bond is given as −
Beginning of the year | Expected price |
1 | $792.16 |
2 | $839.69 |
3 | $881.68 |
4 | $934.58 |
B
To calculate: The rate of return of the bond in first year, second year, third year and fourth year and prove that expected return equals the forward rate for each year.
Introduction: When the forward rates are equal to the market expectation rates is called as expectation hypothesis. The expected rate of return is defined as the amount which is expected on a security at specific period.
B
Answer to Problem 8PS
The forward rate and expected rate of return is equal.
Explanation of Solution
Expectations theory is the long term interest rate that predicts the short term interest rates. It suggests the investor gets same interest by investing in two different investment having diffrent maturity period. At this condition liquidity premium is zero.
The following formula will be used for the calculation of the return of year bond −
Beginning of the year | Expected price | Expected rate of return calculation | Expected rate of return |
1 | $792.16 | 6.00% | |
2 | $839.69 | 5.00% | |
3 | $881.68 | 6.00% | |
4 | $934.58 | 7.00% |
Now, the comparison between the values of the forward rate and the expected rate of return is given as −
Forward rate | Expected rate of return |
6.00% | 6.00% |
5.00% | 5.00% |
6.00% | 6.00% |
7.00% | 7.00% |
The above table proves that the value of the forward rate is equal to the value of the expected rate of return for each year.
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Chapter 15 Solutions
EBK INVESTMENTS
- Required: a. Assuming that the expectations hypothesis is valid, compute the expected price of the four-year zero coupon bond shown below at the end of (i) the first year; (ii) the second year; (iii) the third year; (iv) the fourth year. b. What is the rate of return of the bond in years 1, 2, 3, and 4? Conclude that the expected return equals the forward rate for each year. Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below. Required A Required B Assuming that the expectations hypothesis is valid, compute the expected price of the four-year zero coupon bond shown below at the end of (i) the first year; (ii) the second year; (iii) the third year; (iv) the fourth year. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places. Beginning Price of Bond of Year Expected Price 1 $ 935.90 2 $ 906.47 3 $ 837.12 4 $ 775.39 Required A Required B > Barrow_forwardAssume that the real risk free rate is 2% and the average expected inflation rate is 3% for each future year. The default risk premium and the liquidity premium for bond x are each 1% and the applicable Maturity Risk premium is 2% what is bond x’s interest rate. Round to 2 decimal placesarrow_forwardAssume that the real risk-free rate of return, k*, is 3%, and it will remain at that level far into the future. Also assume that maturity risk premiums (MRP) increase from zero for bonds that mature in one year or less to a maximum of 1%, and MRP increases by 0.2% for each year to maturity that is greater than one year-that is, MRP equals 0.2% for two-year bond, 0.4% for a three-year bond, and so forth. Following are the expected inflation rates for the next five years: Year Inflation Rate (%) 2017 5 2018 6 2019 7 2020 8 2021 9 a) Compute the interest rate for a one-, two-, three-, four-, and five-year bond. b) If inflation is expected to equal 9% every year after 2021, what should be the interest rate for a 10- and 20-year bond? c) Plot the yield curve for the interest rates you computed in part [a] and [b]. d) Based on the curve (in part c), interpret your findings.arrow_forward
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- Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course...FinanceISBN:9781337395083Author:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. DavesPublisher:Cengage Learning