EBK INVESTMENTS
EBK INVESTMENTS
11th Edition
ISBN: 9781259357480
Author: Bodie
Publisher: MCGRAW HILL BOOK COMPANY
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Chapter 15, Problem 8PS

A

Summary Introduction

To calculate: The expected price of the 4-year bond at the end of the first year, second year, third year and fourth year are to be determined.

Introduction: When the forward rates are equal to the market expectation rates is called as expectation hypothesis. The expected rate of return is defined as the amount which is expected on a security at specific period.

A

Expert Solution
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Answer to Problem 8PS

The expected price of the 4-year bond is shown as −

    Beginning of the year Expected price
    1$792.16
    2$839.69
    3$881.68
    4$934.58

Explanation of Solution

Expectations theory is the long term interest rate that predicts the short term interest rates. It suggests the investor gets same interest by investing in two different investment having diffrent maturity period.At this condition liquidity premium is zero.

The following method will be used for the calculation of the Yield to maturity (YTM) and the forward rate −

  YTM=( FaceValue CurrentValue)1YearsToMaturity …......................Equ (1)

  ForwardRateCurrentYear=(1+YTM CurrentYear)(1+YTM PreviousYear)1...................... Equ (2)

    Maturity Price of bond YTMForward rate
    1$943.40[( 1000 943.4)(1/1)]1
    2$898.47[( 1000 898.47)(1/2)]1[(1+5.499%)2/(1+6%)1]1
    3$847.62[( 1000 847.62)(1/3)]1[(1+5.665%)3/(1+5.499%)2]1
    4$792.16[( 1000 792.16)(1/4)]1[(1+5.998%)4/(1+5.665%)3]1

On calculation, the values of forward rate and YTM is given as −

    Maturity Price of bond YTMForward rate
    1$943.406.00%6.00%
    2$898.475.50%5.00%
    3$847.625.67%6.00%
    4$792.166.00%7.00%

Now, the following method will be used for the calculation of the expected price −

    Beginning of the year Expected price calculation Expected price
    1$792.16$792.16
    2$1000/((1+5%)×(1+6%)×(1+7%))$839.69
    3$1000/((1+6%)×(1+7%)) $881.68
    4$1000/((1+7%))$934.58

The expected price of the 4-year bond is given as −

    Beginning of the year Expected price
    1$792.16
    2$839.69
    3$881.68
    4$934.58

B

Summary Introduction

To calculate: The rate of return of the bond in first year, second year, third year and fourth year and prove that expected return equals the forward rate for each year.

Introduction: When the forward rates are equal to the market expectation rates is called as expectation hypothesis. The expected rate of return is defined as the amount which is expected on a security at specific period.

B

Expert Solution
Check Mark

Answer to Problem 8PS

The forward rate and expected rate of return is equal.

Explanation of Solution

Expectations theory is the long term interest rate that predicts the short term interest rates. It suggests the investor gets same interest by investing in two different investment having diffrent maturity period. At this condition liquidity premium is zero.

The following formula will be used for the calculation of the return of year bond −

    Beginning of the year Expected priceExpected rate of return calculation Expected rate of return
    1$792.16($839.69/$792.16)16.00%
    2$839.69($881.68/$839.69)15.00%
    3$881.68($934.58/$881.68)16.00%
    4$934.58($1000/$934.58)17.00%

Now, the comparison between the values of the forward rate and the expected rate of return is given as −

    Forward rateExpected rate of return
    6.00%6.00%
    5.00%5.00%
    6.00%6.00%
    7.00%7.00%

The above table proves that the value of the forward rate is equal to the value of the expected rate of return for each year.

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