ESSEN OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS (LL)  BOM
ESSEN OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS (LL) BOM
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9781337128629
Author: Camm
Publisher: CENGAGE L
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Chapter 15, Problem 8P

Video Tech is considering marketing one of two new video games for the coming holiday season: Battle Pacific or Space Pirates. Battle Pacific is a unique game and appears to have no competition. Estimated profits (in thousands of dollars) under high, medium, and low demand are as follows:

Chapter 15, Problem 8P, Video Tech is considering marketing one of two new video games for the coming holiday season: Battle , example  1

Video Tech is optimistic about its Space Pirates game. However, the concern is that profitability will be affected by a competitor’s introduction of a video game viewed as similar to Space Pirates. Estimated profits (in thousands of dollars) with and without competition are as follows:

Chapter 15, Problem 8P, Video Tech is considering marketing one of two new video games for the coming holiday season: Battle , example  2

Chapter 15, Problem 8P, Video Tech is considering marketing one of two new video games for the coming holiday season: Battle , example  3

  1. a. Develop a decision tree for the Video Tech problem.
  2. b. For planning purposes, Video Tech believes there is a 0.6 probability that its competitor will produce a new game similar to Space Pirates. Given this probability of competition, the director of planning recommends marketing the Battle Pacific video game. Using expected value, what is your recommended decision?
  3. c. Show a risk profile for your recommended decision.
  4. d. Use sensitivity analysis to determine what the probability of competition for Space Pirates would have to be for you to change your recommended decision alternative.
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