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The NCAA basketball tournament begins with 64 teams that are apportioned into four regional tournaments, each involving 16 teams. The 16 teams in each region are then ranked (seeded) from 1 to 16. During the 12-year period from 1991 to 2002, the top-ranked team won its regional tournament 22 times, the second-ranked team won 10 times, the third-ranked team won 5 times, and the remaining 11 regional tournaments were won by teams ranked lower than 3. Let Pij denote the probability that the team ranked i in its region is victorious in its game against the team ranked j. Once the Pij’s are available, it is possible to compute the probability that any particular seed wins its regional tournament (a complicated calculation because the number of outcomes in the
a. One model postulated Pij = .5 – (i−j)with
b. A more sophisticated model has game probabilities Pij = .5 + .2813625 (zi−zj), where the z’s are measures of relative strengths related to standard normal percentiles [percentiles for successive highly seeded teams are closer together than is the case for teams seeded lower, and .2813625 ensures that the
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Chapter 14 Solutions
Bundle: Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences, Loose-leaf Version, 9th + WebAssign Printed Access Card for Devore's Probability ... and the Sciences, 9th Edition, Single-Term
- Solve please and thank you!arrow_forward7. In a 2011 article, M. Radelet and G. Pierce reported a logistic prediction equation for the death penalty verdicts in North Carolina. Let Y denote whether a subject convicted of murder received the death penalty (1=yes), for the defendant's race h (h1, black; h = 2, white), victim's race i (i = 1, black; i = 2, white), and number of additional factors j (j = 0, 1, 2). For the model logit[P(Y = 1)] = a + ß₁₂ + By + B²², they reported = -5.26, D â BD = 0, BD = 0.17, BY = 0, BY = 0.91, B = 0, B = 2.02, B = 3.98. (a) Estimate the probability of receiving the death penalty for the group most likely to receive it. [4 pts] (b) If, instead, parameters used constraints 3D = BY = 35 = 0, report the esti- mates. [3 pts] h (c) If, instead, parameters used constraints Σ₁ = Σ₁ BY = Σ; B = 0, report the estimates. [3 pts] Hint the probabilities, odds and odds ratios do not change with constraints.arrow_forwardSolve please and thank you!arrow_forward
- Solve please and thank you!arrow_forwardQuestion 1:We want to evaluate the impact on the monetary economy for a company of two types of strategy (competitive strategy, cooperative strategy) adopted by buyers.Competitive strategy: strategy characterized by firm behavior aimed at obtaining concessions from the buyer.Cooperative strategy: a strategy based on a problem-solving negotiating attitude, with a high level of trust and cooperation.A random sample of 17 buyers took part in a negotiation experiment in which 9 buyers adopted the competitive strategy, and the other 8 the cooperative strategy. The savings obtained for each group of buyers are presented in the pdf that i sent: For this problem, we assume that the samples are random and come from two normal populations of unknown but equal variances.According to the theory, the average saving of buyers adopting a competitive strategy will be lower than that of buyers adopting a cooperative strategy.a) Specify the population identifications and the hypotheses H0 and H1…arrow_forwardYou assume that the annual incomes for certain workers are normal with a mean of $28,500 and a standard deviation of $2,400. What’s the chance that a randomly selected employee makes more than $30,000?What’s the chance that 36 randomly selected employees make more than $30,000, on average?arrow_forward
- What’s the chance that a fair coin comes up heads more than 60 times when you toss it 100 times?arrow_forwardSuppose that you have a normal population of quiz scores with mean 40 and standard deviation 10. Select a random sample of 40. What’s the chance that the mean of the quiz scores won’t exceed 45?Select one individual from the population. What’s the chance that his/her quiz score won’t exceed 45?arrow_forwardSuppose that you take a sample of 100 from a population that contains 45 percent Democrats. What sample size condition do you need to check here (if any)?What’s the standard error of ^P?Compare the standard errors of ^p n=100 for ,n=1000 , n=10,000, and comment.arrow_forward
- Suppose that a class’s test scores have a mean of 80 and standard deviation of 5. You choose 25 students from the class. What’s the chance that the group’s average test score is more than 82?arrow_forwardSuppose that you collect data on 10 products and check their weights. The average should be 10 ounces, but your sample mean is 9 ounces with standard deviation 2 ounces. Find the standard score.What percentile is the standard score found in part a of this question closest to?Suppose that the mean really is 10 ounces. Do you find these results unusual? Use probabilities to explain.arrow_forwardSuppose that you want to sample expensive computer chips, but you can have only n=3 of them. Should you continue the experiment?arrow_forward
- College AlgebraAlgebraISBN:9781305115545Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage LearningAlgebra and Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)AlgebraISBN:9781305071742Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage Learning
- Algebra: Structure And Method, Book 1AlgebraISBN:9780395977224Author:Richard G. Brown, Mary P. Dolciani, Robert H. Sorgenfrey, William L. ColePublisher:McDougal LittellElementary Geometry For College Students, 7eGeometryISBN:9781337614085Author:Alexander, Daniel C.; Koeberlein, Geralyn M.Publisher:Cengage,Linear Algebra: A Modern IntroductionAlgebraISBN:9781285463247Author:David PoolePublisher:Cengage Learning
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