To Select: The primary purpose of the body of a proposal. Concept introduction: The body of the proposal puts forward the detailed analysis of the solution and recommendations for the problem or opportunity identified to bring out many favorable advantages possible and to mitigate the unfavorable effects.

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Chapter 12, Problem 9LOC

Summary Introduction

To Select:

The primary purpose of the body of a proposal.

Concept introduction:

The body of the proposal puts forward the detailed analysis of the solution and recommendations for the problem or opportunity identified to bring out many favorable advantages possible and to mitigate the unfavorable effects.

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The oasis outpost of Abu Ilan, in the heart of the Negev desert, has a population of 20 Bedouin tribesmen and 20 Farima tribesmen. El Kamin, a nearby oasis, has a population of 32 Bedouins and 8 Farima. A lost Israeli soldier, accidentally separated from his army unit, is wandering through the desert and arrives at the edge of one of the oases. The soldier has no idea which oasis he has found, but the first person he spots at a distance is a Bedouin. 1. What is the probability that he wandered into Abu Ilan? 2. What is the probability that he is in El Kamin?

2-22 The lost Israeli soldier mentioned in Problem 2-21 decides to rest for a few minutes before entering the desert oasis he has just found. Closing his eyes, he dozes off for 15 minutes, wakes, and walks toward the center of the oasis. The first person he spots this time he again recognizes as a Bedouin. What is the posterior probability that he is in El Kamin?*Note* 2-21 The oasis outpost of Abu Ilan, in the heart of the Negev desert, has a population of 20 Bedouin tribesmen and 20 Farima tribesmen. El Kamin, a nearby oasis, has a population of 32 Bedouins and 8 Farima. A lost Israeli soldier, accidentally separated from his army unit, is wandering through the desert and arrives at the edge of one of the oases. The soldier has no idea which oasis he has found, but the first person he spots at a distance is a Bedouin. What is the probability that he has wandered into Abu Ilan? What is the probability that he is in El Kamin?