Chapter 12, Problem 84E

Parts A company manufacturing electronic components for home entertainment systems buys electrical connectors from three suppliers. The company prefers to use supplier A because only 1% of those connectors prove to be defective, but supplier A can deliver only 70% of the connectors needed. The company must also purchase connectors from two other suppliers, 20% from supplier B and the rest from supplier C. The rates of defective connectors from B and C are 2% and 4%, respectively. You buy one of these components, and when you try to use it you find that the connector is defective. What’s the probability that your component came from supplier A?