Engineering Economy (16th Edition) - Standalone book
Engineering Economy (16th Edition) - Standalone book
16th Edition
ISBN: 9780133439274
Author: William G. Sullivan, Elin M. Wicks, C. Patrick Koelling
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 12, Problem 26SE
To determine

Calculate the variance.

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WHICH OPTION IS CORRECT?
The management of Brinkley Corporation is interested in using simulation to estimate the profit per unit for a new product. The selling price for the product will be $45 per unit. Probability distributions for the purchase cost, the labor cost, and the transportation cost are estimated as follows: Procurement Cost($) 10 $ 11 12 Probability 0.25 0.45 0.30 Labor Cost ($) 20 22 24 25 Probability 0.10 0.25 0.35 0.30 Transportation Cost ($) 3 5 (a) Compute profit per unit for the base-case, worst-case, and best-case scenarios. Base Case using most likely costs Profit = $ /unit Worst Case Profit = $ /unit Best Case Profit = $ /unit Probability 0.75 0.25 (b) Construct a simulation model to estimate the mean profit per unit. (Use at least 1,000 trials.) (c) Why is the simulation approach to risk analysis preferable to generating a variety of what-if scenarios? Simulation will provide ---Select--- of the profit per unit values which can then be used to find ---Select--- ◆ of an unacceptably low…
Data in the matrix below indicates COST expected from 3 alternatives under 4 states of nature. Determine which alternative is dominant using With and Without Probability (use a = 0.3 and probability of: 30%; 20%; 40% & 10% for S1, S2, S3, and 54 respectively): Which alternative is best using Expected Value? Alternatives S1 53 S4 A1 10 18 15 A2 12 25 20 A3 15 19 25 S2 20 15 18
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