Principles Of Operations Management
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780135173930
Author: RENDER, Barry, HEIZER, Jay, Munson, Chuck
Publisher: Pearson,
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Chapter 11.S, Problem 1P
Summary Introduction
To determine: The factors to be considered to come up with probability of super-event or unique-event.
Introduction:
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How would you go about calculating the likelihood of a "super-event" or a "unique event?" What variables would you take into account ?
From a risk management perspective, what are possible interpretations of 'probability'?
Decision Tree Analysis. You are considering the decision to purchase a machine for internal production or to subcontract the work to an external source. The following information has been provided by your financial managers:
Cost to purchase the machine—$35,000
Cost to subcontract the work—$5,000
Probability of a good market = 70%
Probability of a poor market = 30%
Reward if the prediction occurs:
In the purchase machine decision good market scenario—$80,000;
in the poor market scenario—$30,000
In the Subcontract decision good market scenario—$50,000; in the poor market scenario—$15,000
1. What is the expected value of the decision to purchase the machine?
Chapter 11 Solutions
Principles Of Operations Management
Ch. 11.S - Prob. 1DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 2DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 3DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 4DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 5DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 6DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 7DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 8DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 9DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 10DQ
Ch. 11.S - Prob. 1PCh. 11.S - Prob. 2PCh. 11.S - Prob. 3PCh. 11.S - Prob. 4PCh. 11.S - Prob. 5PCh. 11.S - Prob. 6PCh. 11.S - Prob. 7PCh. 11.S - Prob. 8PCh. 11.S - Prob. 9PCh. 11.S - Prob. 10PCh. 11.S - Prob. 11PCh. 11.S - Prob. 12PCh. 11.S - Prob. 13PCh. 11.S - Prob. 14PCh. 11.S - Your options for shipping 100,000 of machine parts...Ch. 11.S - If you have a third option for the data in Problem...Ch. 11.S - Prob. 18PCh. 11.S - Prob. 19PCh. 11.S - Prob. 20PCh. 11.S - Prob. 21PCh. 11.S - Prob. 22PCh. 11 - Prob. 1EDCh. 11 - Prob. 1DQCh. 11 - Prob. 2DQCh. 11 - Prob. 3DQCh. 11 - Prob. 4DQCh. 11 - Prob. 5DQCh. 11 - Prob. 6DQCh. 11 - Prob. 7DQCh. 11 - Prob. 8DQCh. 11 - What is CPFR?Ch. 11 - Prob. 10DQCh. 11 - Prob. 11DQCh. 11 - Prob. 12DQCh. 11 - Prob. 13DQCh. 11 - Prob. 14DQCh. 11 - Prob. 15DQCh. 11 - Prob. 16DQCh. 11 - Prob. 17DQCh. 11 - Prob. 1PCh. 11 - Hau Lee Furniture, Inc., described in Example 1 of...Ch. 11 - Prob. 3PCh. 11 - Prob. 4PCh. 11 - Prob. 5PCh. 11 - Prob. 6PCh. 11 - Prob. 7PCh. 11 - Prob. 8PCh. 11 - Prob. 9PCh. 11 - Prob. 10PCh. 11 - Prob. 11PCh. 11 - Prob. 1.1VCCh. 11 - Prob. 1.2VCCh. 11 - Prob. 1.3VCCh. 11 - Prob. 1.4VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.1VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.2VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.3VCCh. 11 - Prob. 3.1VCCh. 11 - Prob. 3.2VCCh. 11 - Prob. 3.3VCCh. 11 - Prob. 3.4VC
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