Concept explainers
(Real options and capital budgeting) McDoogals Restaurants has come up with a new fast-food, casual restaurant combining some of the features of Chipotle, Panera, and Shake Shack, but it is not quite sure how the public will react to it. McDoogals feels that there is a 50–50 chance that consumers will like it and a 50–50 chance that they won’t. McDoogals is considering building one of these new restaurants; the cash flows if it succeeds and if it fails are given below.
The required
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solutionChapter 11 Solutions
Foundations Of Finance
- 2. You are thinking about starting a restaurant franchise in Irvine, California. You are considering two choices – either a P.F. Chang’s or a Dairy Queen. Unfortunately, you only have an opportunity to build one or the other. The details are the following: P.F. Chang’s: The franchise fee and cost of the building are $1,000,000. After careful calculation, you believe the restaurant will generate $150,000 a year in positive cash flow for the next 20 years at which point the franchise rights expire and the building is worthless (ie. There’s no extra money at the end). Discount rate is 10%. Dairy Queen: The franchise fee and cost of the building are $500,000. After careful calculation, you believe the restaurant will generate $80,000 a year in positive cash flow for the next 20 years at which point the franchise rights expire and the building is worthless (ie. There’s no extra money at the end). Discount rate is 10%. a) What are the two projects’ IRRs and which franchise would you…arrow_forwardSam McKenzie is the founder and CEO of McKenzie Restaurants, Inc. a regional company. Sam is considering opening several new restaurants. Sam Thornton, the company's CEO, has been put in charge of the capital budgeting analysis. She has examined the potential for the company's expansion and determined that the success of the new restaurants will depend critically on the state of the economy next year and over the next few years. McKenzie currently has a bind issue outstanding with a face value of $26 million that is due in one year. Covenants associated with this bond issue prohibit the issuance of any additional debt. This restriction means that the expansion will be entirely financed with equity at a cost of $5.4 million. Sally has summarized her analysis in the following table, which shows the value of the company in each state of the economy next year with both expansion and without. Economic Growth/Probability/without expansion/with expansion Low .30…arrow_forwardReal Options—the Option to Abandon a Project You and several of your classmates havejust graduated from college and are evaluating various investment opportunities, including a startupcompany that would produce high-quality jackets embroidered with a college logo. If demand forthis customized product is high, you expect to sell approximately 100,000 units per year, at a priceper unit of $80. On the other hand, because of stiff competition in the field, a pessimistic estimateis that demand for your new product would be only 40,000 units per year at a selling price of$70. Anticipated variable costs per jacket amount to $40. Capacity-related (i.e., short-term fixed)costs other than the cost of manufacturing equipment are thought to be negligible. Manufacturingequipment (with a 10-year life, a cost of $12 million, and a zero salvage value) would have to bepurchased as part of this project. Assume that, for income tax purposes, your company will usestraight-line depreciation over the life…arrow_forward
- ou are considering setting up a firm to produce widgets. The cost of the project is $30 today. The demand for widgets is uncertain. It can be either high or low with equal probability. When the demand is high, cash flows in t = 1 are $66 and when the demand is low, cash flows in t = 1 are $34. The discount rate is 10%. What is the NPV of the project? Suppose you can commission a study that tells you whether the demand for widgets will be high or low. The study takes one year to complete. That is, if you commission the study you must decide in t = 1 whether to invest. If you invest the cash flows will arrive in t = 2. What is the maximum amount you are willing to pay for the study today?arrow_forwardConsider the following information. In order to satisfy a sharp increase in demand due to the end of the pandemic, LLC is evaluating investing in one of two major projects; these projects will be called Project A and Project B. In order to mitigate risk, LLC has asked Rachel Consulting Limited to conduct some market research. Rachel Consulting is being paid $2.5m a fixed fee for her expert consulting services. Project A has an initial outlay of $45 million and Project B has an initial outlay of $60 million. Project A will generate additional revenues of $25 million starting at the end of year 1 until the end of year 10. It will also incur additional working capital expenses of $75 million immediately, this working capital will be recovered at the end of the project. Project B will generate additional revenues of $35 million starting at the end of year 1 until the end of year 10. It will also incur additional working capital expenses of $90 million immediately, this working capital will…arrow_forwardI need help with this problem and putting into an excel format with formulas. You are looking into the purchase of a condominium complex for your privately-held real estate firm REInvest Corp. The condominium complex would cost $38 million today. This condominium complex would be a typical investment for CondoPlus Inc. You think that the outcomes of this investment will depend on how the economy does in the near future. You think that there is a 40% chance that the economy will keep improving. This will result in CFs of $5 million next year, with the CFs increasing by 5% per year into perpetuity. There is a 30% chance of the economy growing very slowly, which will result in CFs of $3 million next year with 2% growth per year in perpetuity. And there is a 30% chance that the economy will shrink, causing CFs to be $1 million next year with only 1% growth per year into perpetuity. You could purchase an option to sell the condominium complex exactly 1 year from now for $25 million.…arrow_forward
- Buckingham Packaging is considering expanding its production capacity by purchasing a new machine, the XC-750. The cost of the XC-750 is $2.25 million. Unfortunately, installing this machine will take several months and will partially disrupt production. The firm has just completed a $50,000 feasibility study to analyze the decision to buy the XC-750, resulting in the following estimates: Marketing: Once the XC-750 is operating next year, the extra capacity is expected to generate $10.5 million per year in additional sales, which will continue for the 10-year life of the machine. Operations: The disruption caused by the installation will decrease sales by $5 million this year (year 0). Once the machine is operating next year, the cost of goods for the products produced by the XC-750 is expected to be 70% of their sale price. The increased production will require additional inventory on hand of $2.0 million, to be added in year 0 and depleted in year 10. Human Resources: The expansion…arrow_forwardIf the company uses a project cost of capital of 13%, what will be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project? (Mote: Do not round Intermediate calculations and round your answer to the nearest whole dollar.) -$7,874 Ⓒ-$6,630 -$8,288 O-$9,531 St. Margaret Beer Co. has the option to delay starting this project for one year so that analysts can gather more information about whether demand will be strong or weak. If the company chooses to delay the project, it will have to give up a year of cash flows, because the project will then be only a two-year project. However, the company will know for certain if the market demand will be strong or weak before deciding to invest in it. What will be the expected NPV If St. Margaret Beer Co. delays starting the project? (Note: Do not round Intermediate calculations and round your answer to the nearest whole dollar.) $1,880 Ⓒ$1,410 What is the value of St. Margaret Beer Co's option to delay the start of the project? (Note: Do not round…arrow_forwardYou consider buying a lot on which you will build a small apartment complex. The asking price for the lot is $2,000,000 and the estimated cost to build the apartment complex is $5,000,000 (construction should take one year). One year from the date you intend to purchase the lot the city is going to make an important decision regarding the use of the land just across from your lot. You believe that there is a 35% chance that the decision would be favorable to you and a 65% chance that it would be unfavorable. In case of a favorable or unfavorable outcome your complex should generate an NOI of $400,000 or $300,000 respectively. For simplicity, you may assume that at any time you can sell your complex for a 5% CAP and your required rate of return is 8%. a. Calculate the value of the lot using the traditional approach.b. Calculate the value of the lot using the real option approach.c. Should you buy the lot?d. In case that you decided to buy the lot, should you build the apartment complex…arrow_forward
- Shrieves Casting Company is considering adding a new line to its product mix, and the capital budgeting analysis is being conducted by Sidney Johnson, a recently graduated MBA. The production line would be set up in unused space in the main plant. The machinery’s invoice price would be approximately $200,000, another $10,000 in shipping charges would be required, and it would cost an additional $30,000 to install the equipment. The machinery has an economic life of 4 years, and Shrieves has obtained a special tax ruling that places the equipment in the MACRS 3-year class. The machinery is expected to have a salvage value of $25,000 after 4 years of use. The new line would generate incremental sales of 1,000 units per year for 4 years at an incremental cost of $100 per unit in the first year, excluding depreciation. Each unit can be sold for $200 in the first year. The sales price and cost are both expected to increase by 3% per year due to inflation. Further, to handle the new line,…arrow_forwardRose Apothecary is considering expanding its business to include a second store. David Rose, the CEO, believes that a marketing study would help to determine the overall demand for the store. Part A: Without the marketing study, the company estimates that there will be an up-front cost of $100,000 to get the new store up and running. The expectation is that there is a 50% chance that the store will generate annual cash flows of $48,000 per year for the subsequent four years and a 50% chance that the store will generate annual cash flows of $22,000 per year for the subsequent four years. What is the NPV of the store expansion project, assuming a 15% cost of capital?arrow_forward(Real options and capital budgeting) You have come up with a great idea for a Tex-Mex-Thai fusion restaurant. After doing a financial analysis of this venture, you estimate that the initial outlay will be $6 million. You also estimate that there is a 50 percent chance that this new restaurant will be well received and will produce annual cash flows of $760,000 per year forever (a perpetuity), while there is a 50 percent chance of it producing a cash flow of only $180,000 per year forever (a perpetuity) if it isn't received well. a. What is the NPV of the restaurant if the required rate of return you use to discount the project cash flows is 12 percent? b. What are the real options that this analysis may be ignoring? c. Explain why the project may be worthwhile even though you have just estimated that its NPV is negative? a. Assume the required rate of return you use to discount the project cash flows is 12%. What is the NPV of the restaurant if things go well? (Round to the nearest…arrow_forward
- Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course ...StatisticsISBN:9781305627734Author:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. AndersonPublisher:Cengage LearningPrinciples of Accounting Volume 2AccountingISBN:9781947172609Author:OpenStaxPublisher:OpenStax College