Diseconomies of scale versus diminishing returns.

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3. Question You invented a new lateral-flow test for asymptomatic Covid-19 detection, where saliva is entered into a test-tube and then the result is shown directly on the device. However, to save on costly chemicals you designed the tests such that it always reports a negative test result. Assume that the incidence rate is 5 per 1000 and that your test is used for detection of asymptomatic cases (without symptoms). (a) Calculate the probability that 100 randomly determined volunteers receive a correct test result by using the AND-rule and the OR-rule. Can your test be qualified as a diagnostic test? (b) The health authorities are investigating the performance of your test. Government guidelines require a specificity (conditional probability to re- ceive a negative test result given that the test-taker is not infected with COVID19) of at least 97% and a sensitivity (conditional probability to receive a positive test result given that the test-taker is infected with COVID-19) of at…

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Chapter 11, Problem 11.6.12PA

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Diseconomies of scale versus diminishing returns.

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3. Question You invented a new lateral-flow test for asymptomatic Covid-19 detection, where saliva is entered into a test-tube and then the result is shown directly on the device. However, to save on costly chemicals you designed the tests such that it always reports a negative test result. Assume that the incidence rate is 5 per 1000 and that your test is used for detection of asymptomatic cases (without symptoms). (a) Calculate the probability that 100 randomly determined volunteers receive a correct test result by using the AND-rule and the OR-rule. Can your test be qualified as a diagnostic test? (b) The health authorities are investigating the performance of your test. Government guidelines require a specificity (conditional probability to re- ceive a negative test result given that the test-taker is not infected with COVID19) of at least 97% and a sensitivity (conditional probability to receive a positive test result given that the test-taker is infected with COVID-19) of at…

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