Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
Chapter 10, Problem 52P
Summary Introduction
To explain: The way simulation can be used to determine whether a group replacement policy is better.
Simulation modeling:
A simulation model is a computerized model that depicts or imitates a real-life situation. It is like other mathematical models except that it incorporates the concept of uncertainty in one or more number of the input variables.
Expert Solution & Answer
Trending nowThis is a popular solution!
Students have asked these similar questions
Jankord Jewelers permits the return of their diamond wedding rings, provided the return occurs within two weeks. Typically, 20 percent are returned. If nine rings are sold today, what is the probability that fewer than four will be returned?
A- 0.914
B- 0.962
C- 0.923
D- 0.935
The length of time between breakdowns of an essential piece of equipment is important in the decision of the use of auxiliary equipment. An engineer thinks that the best “model” for time between breakdowns of a generator is the exponential distribution with a mean of 15 days.
If the generator has just broken down, what is the probability that it will break down in the next 12 to 24 days?
TenTen Company manufactures video recorders. It is so certain of its quality control that it is offering a complete replacement warranty if the set fails within two years. Based upon compiled data, the company has a need that only 1% of its recorders fail during the first year and 5% fail during the second year. The warranty does not cover replaced recorders.
a) Formulate this problem as a Markov chain and determine the transition matrix.
b) Find the probability that the manufacturer will have to honor the warranty.
Chapter 10 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 10.2 - Use the RAND function and the Copy command to...Ch. 10.2 - Use Excels functions (not @RISK) to generate 1000...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a uniform distribution from 400...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a normal distribution with mean...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a binomial distribution that...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - We all hate to keep track of small change. By...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 11PCh. 10.4 - In August of the current year, a car dealer is...
Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 10.5 - If you add several normally distributed random...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 11 from the previous section, we stated...Ch. 10.5 - Continuing the previous problem, assume, as in...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 12 of the previous section, suppose...Ch. 10.5 - Use @RISK to analyze the sweatshirt situation in...Ch. 10.5 - Although the normal distribution is a reasonable...Ch. 10.6 - When you use @RISKs correlation feature to...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 24PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 25PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 10 - Six months before its annual convention, the...Ch. 10 - Prob. 30PCh. 10 - A new edition of a very popular textbook will be...Ch. 10 - Prob. 32PCh. 10 - W. L. Brown, a direct marketer of womens clothing,...Ch. 10 - Assume that all of a companys job applicants must...Ch. 10 - Lemingtons is trying to determine how many Jean...Ch. 10 - Dilberts Department Store is trying to determine...Ch. 10 - It is surprising (but true) that if 23 people are...Ch. 10 - Prob. 40PCh. 10 - At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one...Ch. 10 - Simulation can be used to illustrate a number of...Ch. 10 - Prob. 43PCh. 10 - Prob. 46PCh. 10 - If you want to replicate the results of a...Ch. 10 - Suppose you simulate a gambling situation where...Ch. 10 - Prob. 49PCh. 10 - Big Hit Video must determine how many copies of a...Ch. 10 - Prob. 51PCh. 10 - Prob. 52PCh. 10 - Why is the RISKCORRMAT function necessary? How...Ch. 10 - Consider the claim that normally distributed...Ch. 10 - Prob. 55PCh. 10 - When you use a RISKSIMTABLE function for a...Ch. 10 - Consider a situation where there is a cost that is...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- The game of Chuck-a-Luck is played as follows: You pick a number between 1 and 6 and toss three dice. If your number does not appear, you lose 1. If your number appears x times, you win x. On the average, use simulation to find the average amount of money you will win or lose on each play of the game.arrow_forwardIn this version of dice blackjack, you toss a single die repeatedly and add up the sum of your dice tosses. Your goal is to come as close as possible to a total of 7 without going over. You may stop at any time. If your total is 8 or more, you lose. If your total is 7 or less, the house then tosses the die repeatedly. The house stops as soon as its total is 4 or more. If the house totals 8 or more, you win. Otherwise, the higher total wins. If there is a tie, the house wins. Consider the following strategies: Keep tossing until your total is 3 or more. Keep tossing until your total is 4 or more. Keep tossing until your total is 5 or more. Keep tossing until your total is 6 or more. Keep tossing until your total is 7 or more. For example, suppose you keep tossing until your total is 4 or more. Here are some examples of how the game might go: You toss a 2 and then a 3 and stop for total of 5. The house tosses a 3 and then a 2. You lose because a tie goes to the house. You toss a 3 and then a 6. You lose. You toss a 6 and stop. The house tosses a 3 and then a 2. You win. You toss a 3 and then a 4 for total of 7. The house tosses a 3 and then a 5. You win. Note that only 4 tosses need to be generated for the house, but more tosses might need to be generated for you, depending on your strategy. Develop a simulation and run it for at least 1000 iterations for each of the strategies listed previously. For each strategy, what are the two values so that you are 95% sure that your probability of winning is between these two values? Which of the five strategies appears to be best?arrow_forwardA design engineer is considering the number of levels of redundancy to buildinto a particular circuit. The circuit will be part of a sensitive piece of equipmentwith cost estimated at $500 per failure. Each additional level of redundancy costs$100. If each component fails at random at a rate of one failure every five years,what level of redundancy most closely equates the cost of the design with the expected failure cost of the equipment over its 10-year life cycle?arrow_forward
- A swim club is designing a new pool to replace its old pool. The new pool would need to last for 10 years since the club is planning on relocating after 10 years. A concrete shell would cost $85,000 and last for all 10 years. Another option is to install a vinyl liner that would cost only $70,000 to install. However, the vinyl is not guaranteed to last for all 10 years, and it has a 40% chance of breaking down. Repair of the vinyl would cost $40,000 and would extend the life of the vinyl liner to the 10-year mark. If both options are acceptable to the swim club, which one minimizes cost? Support your answer with drawing a decision tree and provide your calculation.arrow_forwardCassette tapes are still used in some handheld recording devices and in less expensive portable musical instrument recording devices. The desired speed of a cassette tape is 1.900 inches per second. Any deviation from this value causes a change in pitch and tempo and thus poor sound quality. Suppose that adjusting the tape speed under warranty when a customer complains and returns a device costs a manufacturer $20. Based on past information, the company knows the average customer will return a device if the tape speed is off the target by at least 0.200 inches per second; in other words, when the speed is either 2.100 or 1.700. Suppose that a technician tests the tape speed prior to packaging and can adjust the speed to the target of 1.900 at a cost of $6. What should the economic specification limit be? The data has been collected in the Microsoft Excel Online file below. Open the spreadsheet and perform the required analysis to answer the questions below. Questions 1. In the Taguchi…arrow_forwardCassette tapes are still used in some handheld recording devices and in less expensive portable musical instrument recording devices. The desired speed of a cassette tape is 1.900 inches per second. Any deviation from this value causes a change in pitch and tempo and thus poor sound quality. Suppose that adjusting the tape speed under warranty when a customer complains and returns a device costs a manufacturer $20. Based on past information, the company knows the average customer will return a device if the tape speed is off the target by at least 0.200 inches per second; in other words, when the speed is either 2.100 or 1.700. Suppose that a technician tests the tape speed prior to packaging and can adjust the speed to the target of 1.900 at a cost of $6. What should the economic specification limit be? The data has been collected in the Microsoft Excel Online file below. Open the spreadsheet and perform the required analysis to answer the questions below. Question 4. What are the…arrow_forward
- Zemansky’s sells tires with a pro rata warranty. The tires are warranted to deliver50,000 miles with the rebate based on the remaining tread on the tire. The tires failon the average after 35,000 miles of wear. Suppose the tires sell for $50 each withthe warranty. If failures occur completely at random, what would be a consistentprice for the tires if no warranty were offered?arrow_forwardIf events X and Y are mutually exclusive then A- P(X)P(Y) = 0 B- they are independent events C- their joint probability is zero D- P(X)P(Y) = P(X | Y)arrow_forwardMarkov process models can be used to describe the probability that a consumer purchasing brand A in one time period 1.will sell brand A in the next period 2. all of the answers are correct. 3.will sell brand A after three time periods 4. will not purchase brand A in the next periodarrow_forward
- 9.19 In bottle production, bubbles that appear in the glass are considered defects. Any botle that has more than two bubbles is elassified as "nonconforming" and is sent to recycling Suppose that a particular production line produces bottles with bubbles at a rate of 1. bubbles per bottle. Bubbles occur independently of one another. a What is the probability that a randomly chosen bottle is nonconfornming? b Bottles are packed in cases of 12. An inspector chooses one bottle from each case and examines it for defects. If it is nonconforming, she inspects the entire case, re placing nonconforming bottles with good ones. This process is called rectification If the chosen bottle conforms (has two or fewer bubbles), then she passes the cuse. In total, 20 cases are produced. What is the probability that at least 18 of them pass! c What is the expected number of nonconforming bottles in the 20 cases after they have been inspected and rectified using the scheme described in part b?arrow_forwardWhich answer is an example of an experimental study? A researcher asks all the students in a classroom to answer questions about whether they would attempt a difficult math problem if they were promised a candy bar for correctly solving it. The researcher keeps track of students' answers. A researcher attends a math class and watches and records how many students attempt the difficult problems assigned in class. A researcher asks two groups of students to solve a difficult math problem. One of the groups is told that members will receive a candy bar after correctly solving the problem. The other group is not told this. The researcher keeps track of how long people attempt to solve the math problem. A researcher asks a sample of the students in a classroom to answer questions about how long they would attempt to solve a difficult math problem if they were promised a candy bar for correctly solving it. The researcher keeps track of students' answers.arrow_forwardConsider an assembly line with 20 stations. Each station has a 0.5% probability of making a defect. At the end of the line, an inspection step singles out the defective units. The inspection step catches 80% of all defects. From inspection, units that are deemed to be non-defective are moved to the shipping department. If a defect is found at inspection, it is sent to the rework department. Rework fixes about 95% of the defective units. Units are directly shipped from the rework department with no further inspection taking place. What is the probability that a defective unit is shipped (in decimal form)?arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,