Your grandmother is considering investing in a large, listed company. She has performed some research on the company and has provided you with the following historical information: Year Return 1 10% 2 17% 3 25% 4 -2% 5 5% She is unsure about this investment as she does not want to earn a return less than 2%. Determine the probability that the share will generate a return less than 2% (rounded to the nearest two decimal places).   a. 66.85% b. 9.36% c. 96.00% d. 16.85% e. 33.15%

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1PS
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Your grandmother is considering investing in a large, listed company. She has performed some research on the company and has provided you with the following historical information:

Year

Return

1

10%

2

17%

3

25%

4

-2%

5

5%

She is unsure about this investment as she does not want to earn a return less than 2%. Determine the probability that the share will generate a return less than 2% (rounded to the nearest two decimal places).

 

a.

66.85%

b.

9.36%

c.

96.00%

d.

16.85%

e.

33.15%

Expert Solution
Step 1

Let the average return = Ra

Standard deviation = SD

Let Rn be the return in year n.

R1 = 10%

R2 = 17%

R3 = 25%

R4 = -2%

R5 = 5%

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