You are conducting a study to see if the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is significantly smaller than 50% at a level of significance of αα = 0.05. According to your sample, 23 out of 52 potential voters prefer the Democratic candidate. For this study, we should use Select an answer t-test for a population mean z-test for a population proportion  The null and alternative hypotheses would be:      Ho: ? p μ  Select an answer < > = ≠   (please enter a decimal)     H1: ? p μ  Select an answer = > ≠ <   (Please enter a decimal) The test statistic ? t z  =  (please show your answer to 3 decimal places.) The p-value =  (Please show your answer to 4 decimal places.) The p-value is ? ≤ >  αα Based on this, we should Select an answer fail to reject reject accept  the null hypothesis.

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You are conducting a study to see if the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is significantly smaller than 50% at a level of significance of αα = 0.05. According to your sample, 23 out of 52 potential voters prefer the Democratic candidate.

  1. For this study, we should use Select an answer t-test for a population mean z-test for a population proportion 
  2. The null and alternative hypotheses would be:    
     Ho: ? p μ  Select an answer < > = ≠   (please enter a decimal)   
     H1: ? p μ  Select an answer = > ≠ <   (Please enter a decimal)
  1. The test statistic ? t z  =  (please show your answer to 3 decimal places.)
  2. The p-value =  (Please show your answer to 4 decimal places.)
  3. The p-value is ? ≤ >  αα
  4. Based on this, we should Select an answer fail to reject reject accept  the null hypothesis.
  5. Thus, the final conclusion is that ...
    • The data suggest the populaton proportion is significantly smaller than 50% at αα = 0.05, so there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is smaller than 50%
    • The data suggest the population proportion is not significantly smaller than 50% at αα = 0.05, so there is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is smaller than 50%.
    • The data suggest the population proportion is not significantly smaller than 50% at αα = 0.05, so there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is equal to 50%.
  6. Interpret the p-value in the context of the study.
    • There is a 20.27% chance that fewer than 50% of all voters prefer the Democratic candidate.
    • If the population proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is 50% and if another 52 voters are surveyed then there would be a 20.27% chance fewer than 45% of the 52 voters surveyed prefer the Democratic candidate.
    • If the sample proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is 45% and if another 52 voters are surveyed then there would be a 20.27% chance of concluding that fewer than 50% of all voters surveyed prefer the Democratic candidate.
    •  There is a 50% chance of a Type I error.
  7. Interpret the level of significance in the context of the study.
    • If the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is smaller than 50% and if another 52 voters are surveyed then there would be a 5% chance that we would end up falsely concluding that the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is equal to 50%.
    • There is a 5% chance that the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is smaller than 50%.
    • There is a 5% chance that the earth is flat and we never actually sent a man to the moon.
    • If the population proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is 50% and if another 52 voters are surveyed then there would be a 5% chance that we would end up falsely concluding that the proportion of voters who prefer the Democratic candidate is smaller than 50%
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Given information

Number of Potential voters (n) = 52

Number of voters who prefer democratic candidate (x) = 23

For this study, we will use z-test for a population proportion

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