What would be the value of deciding to drill now? What would be the value of waiting 2 years before deciding whether to drill?

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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An oil company is deciding whether to drill a well for oil on a given piece land. Drilling now requires $8 million. The well is expected to yield revenues of $4 million annually for 4 years, after which the well will run dry. If the oil company waits 2 years, drilling will cost $9 million, with a 90% chance of oil revenues being $4.2 million annually and a 10% chance of oil revenues being $2.2 million annually, for 4 years. Assuming a discount rate of 10%

  1. What would be the value of deciding to drill now?
  2. What would be the value of waiting 2 years before deciding whether to drill?
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