Mosaic is evaluating a manufacturing plant that has the potential to generate revenue of  $2 million per year. Based on uncertainty surrounding its long term government  contract, next year’s revenue will either increase by 20% or decrease by 25%, with  equal probability and then stay the same forever. Mosaic projected that the costs will  be constant at $1.2 million per year. Next year, Mosaic has the option to sell the plant  for $3 million. Its cost of capital is 20%. Assume a zero tax rate and perpetual cash  flows. What is the expected value of the plant with the option to sell it?  A. $3.75 million  B. $3.90 million  C. $4.25 million  D. $4.50 million

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Mosaic is evaluating a manufacturing plant that has the potential to generate revenue of 
$2 million per year. Based on uncertainty surrounding its long term government 
contract, next year’s revenue will either increase by 20% or decrease by 25%, with 
equal probability and then stay the same forever. Mosaic projected that the costs will 
be constant at $1.2 million per year. Next year, Mosaic has the option to sell the plant 
for $3 million. Its cost of capital is 20%. Assume a zero tax rate and perpetual cash 
flows.
What is the expected value of the plant with the option to sell it? 
A. $3.75 million 
B. $3.90 million 
C. $4.25 million 
D. $4.50 million 

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