Use a logit model to determine the probabilities of a group of 5000 work commuters choosing between three modes of travel during the morning peak hour, including Privite car, Bus and Light rail
Use a logit model to determine the probabilities of a group of 5000 work commuters choosing between three modes of travel during the morning peak hour, including Privite car, Bus and Light rail
Chapter2: Loads On Structures
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
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Transcribed Image Text:Problem 2 - Use of multi-nomial logit model for estimation of modal split
Use a logit model to determine the probabilities of a group of 5000 work
commuters choosing between three modes of travel during the morning peak
hour, including Privite car, Bus and Light rail
If 1450 commuters travel by bus, 950 commuters taking light rail, determine the
travel time of driving private cars (T).
The utility functions for the three modes are estimated using the following
equations:
Uc = 2.4 – 0.4C – 0.05 T
Ug = 1.4 – 0.4C – 0.05T
ULR= 0.4 – 0.4C– 0.05T
where
C = cost (£)
T= travel time (minutes)
For all workers:
• The cost of driving is £6.00 with a travel time of T minutes
• The bus fare is £2.50 with a travel time of 50 minutes
The rail fare is £2.80 with a travel time of 35 minutes.
where
P = probability that mode m is chosen
m' = index over all modes included in chosen set
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