Three fair coins are tossed simultaneously until all three show that same face. What is the probability that they are tossed more than three times?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Three fair coins are tossed simultaneously until all three show that same face. What is the probability that they are tossed more than three times?

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Under geometric distribution: P(X>=t) = (1-p)t; t=number of failures before first success

All the possible outcomes in one toss: HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT, TTT

p=P(all three coins are the same face in one toss) = 2/8 = 1/4

Toss 1: Fail, Toss 2: Fail, Toss 3: Fail, Toss 4: Success

P(X>=3)  = (1-1/4)= 0.421875

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