This is the same payoff table used in questions 2 and 3. Below is a payoff table that lists four mortgage options: Decision 1-year ARM 3-year ARM 5-year Arm 30-year fixed Rates Rise $66,645 $62,857 $55,895 $52,276 Outcomes Rates Stable $43,650 $47,698 $50,894 $52,276 4) Which of the following decisions has the best average payoff? A. 3-year ARM B. 1-year ARM C. 5-year ARM D. 30-year Fixed Rates Fall $38,560 $42,726 $48,134 $52,276
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- Calculate the sales variance in dollars and the sales variance as a percentage given the following information: last year's sales $2,825,000; this year's sales $3,000,500. $5,825,500 and 9.41% $175,500 and 6.21% $5,825,500 and 10.62% $175,500 and 9.41%Harley, an ice-cream vendor, purchases each pint of ice-cream for $7 and sells for $20 each. At the end of the week, the unsold ice-cream can be salvaged for $2 each. From past experience, Harley has estimated the sales probabilities as below. What is the optimal number of pints Harley should purchase? Number of Ice-creams Sold, Probability 1 = 0.05, 2 = 0.1, 3 = 0.2 , 4 = 0.25, 5 = 0.15, 6 = 0.1, 7 = 0.08, 8 = 0.07A decision maker has prepared the following payoff table. States of Nature Alternative High Low Buy 80 -5 Rent 85 45 Lease 60 50 Using the Maximax criterion, what is the best decision and the expected payoff? Best decision Payoff
- Edwards Machine Tools needs to purchase a new machine. The basic model is slower but costs less, whereas the advanced model is faster but costs more. Profitability will depend on future demand. The following table presents an estimate of profits over the next three years. Demand Volume Decision Low Medium High Basic model $90,000 $110,000 $155,000 Advanced model $60,000 $135,000 $190,000 Fill in the table below for maximum and minimum profit payoffs under each model. Round your answers to the nearest dollar. Decision alternative Maximum Minimum Basic model $ $ Advanced model $ $ Calculate the amounts foregone by not adopting the optimal course of action for each possible demand level. Determine the maximum opportunity cost for each model. Fill in the table below. If your answer is zero, enter "0". Round your answers to the nearest dollar. Opportunity Loss Matrix Future events Decision alternative Low Medium High Maximum…The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature. Decision Alternative If S1 d₁ d₂ States of Nature then ? $1 240 90 90 15 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(S₁) = 0.65, P(s₂) = 0.15, and P(s3) = 0.20. (a) What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? ; If S₂ then ? 90 65 ; If S3 then ? (b) What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? î (c) Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? What is its expected value? The recommended decision without perfect information is ? EV = (d) What is the expected value of perfect information? EVPI = îThe local high school soccer club need to borrow to finance a new soccer field. Repayment of the loan involves payments of $10 000.00 at the end of every 3 months for 8 years. No payments are to be made during the development period of 5 years. If interest is 8% compounded quarterly, how much did the Achievers borrow? a) $162 064.83 b) $234 683.35 c) $157 935.17 d) $175.935.71 e) $320 000.00 .
- Preliminary plans are under way for the construction of a new stadium for a major league baseball team. City officials have questioned the number and profitability of the luxury corporate boxes planned for the upper deck of the stadium. Corporations and selected individuals may buy the boxes for $320,000 each. The fixed construction cost for the upper deck area is estimated to be $5,760,000, with a variable cost of $160,000 for each box constructed. (a) What is the break-even point for the number of luxury boxes in the new stadium? X = (b) Preliminary drawings for the stadium show that space is available for the construction of up to 48 luxury boxes. Promoters indicate that buyers are available and that all 48 could be sold if constructed. (1) What is your recommendation concerning the construction of luxury boxes? O Build the luxury boxes. O Do not build the luxury boxes. (ii) What profit is anticipated (in dollars)? (Enter a negative value if a predicted loss.) $Edwards Machine Tools needs to purchase a new machine. The basic model is slower but costs less, whereas the advanced model is faster but costs more. Profitability will depend on future demand. The following table presents an estimate of profits over the next three years. Demand Volume Decision Low Medium High Basic model $65,000 $100,000 $180,000 Advanced model $55,000 $105,000 $205,000 Fill in the table below for maximum and minimum profit payoffs under each model. Round your answers to the nearest dollar. Decision alternative Maximum Minimum Basic model $ $ Advanced model $ $ Calculate the amounts foregone by not adopting the optimal course of action for each possible demand level. Determine the maximum opportunity cost for each model. Fill in the table below. If your answer is zero, enter "0". Round your answers to the nearest dollar. Opportunity Loss Matrix Future events Decision alternative Low Medium High Maximum Basic…Explain two approaches a seller can use to estimate variable consideration, and when each approach is likely to be more appropriate.
- An industrial property’s first year annual NOI is projected to be $777,000, the property’s acquisition cap rate is 7.0%, and the lender’s maximum LTV is 70% of the purchase price. What is the maximum loan amount that can be borrowed against the property? Group of answer choices $11,100,000 $7,770,000 $3,330,000 $15,857,143Come up with a decision using MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION under conditions of uncertainty using the table below. The payoff values are expressed as LOSSES.Which decision alternative has the minimum payoff value of the maximum regret? Choices: -> A,B,C-> C,D,E-> E,F,G-> B,F,G-> C,G,FII. + James Scott is considering the possibility of opening a small outfit shop on Sta. Maria District, a few blocks from St. Green Ville College. She has located on a mall that attracts students. To open a small shop, medium sized shop, or no shop at all are her options. The market can be good, average, or bad. The probabilities for these three possibilities are 30% for good market, 50% for an average market, and 20% for bad market. The profit or loss for the said market conditions are given in the table below; ALTERNATIVE Small Shop Medium Sized Shop No Shop GOOD 150,000 200,000 0 AVERAGE 50,000 70,000 0 a) Calculate the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) b) What do you recommend? BAD -80,000 -120,000 0