The table shows the number of deaths due to Covid-19 according to the vaccination status, during the period from 8 October to 17 October 2021 in Singapore. Unvaccinated Partially Vaccinated Fully Vaccinated Number of deaths 49 23 25 (i) A researcher considers a multinomial distribution specified by probabilities of death 1-30, 20 and O for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively. Find the maximum likelihood estimate ôn. (ii) Find an approximate estimate of Var(é). (ii) Find an approximate 95% confidence interval for 0. (iv) Consider testing the null hypothesis that the multinomial distribution is specified by probabilities 1- 30, 20 and e for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively. The alternative hypothesis is a multinomial distribution that does not have probabilities of the given form. Find the Pearson chi-square test statistic X? and the likelihood ratio test statistic -2logA.

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Question 4
The table shows the number of deaths due to Covid-19 according to the vaccination status, during
the period from 8 October to 17 October 2021 in Singapore.
Unvaccinated
Partially Vaccinated
Fully Vaccinated
Number of deaths
49
23
25
(i) A researcher considers a multinomial distribution specified by probabilities of death 1– 30, 20 and
O for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively. Find the maximum
likelihood estimate ô.
(ii) Find an approximate estimate of Var(ê).
(iii) Find an approximate 95% confidence interval for 0.
(iv) Consider testing the null hypothesis that the multinomial distribution is specified by probabilities
1- 30, 20 and @ for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively. The
alternative hypothesis is a multinomial distribution that does not have probabilities of the given
form. Find the Pearson chi-square test statistic X? and the likelihood ratio test statistic -2logA.
(v) Perform the tests in part (iv) using the level of significance a = 0.05. State the conclusions of the
tests.
(vi) A second researecher considers a multinomial distribution specified by probabilities of death p1, P2
and p, for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively, with p + P2 +
Ps = 1. Find the maximum likelihood estimates of p.. P2 and p3.
Transcribed Image Text:Question 4 The table shows the number of deaths due to Covid-19 according to the vaccination status, during the period from 8 October to 17 October 2021 in Singapore. Unvaccinated Partially Vaccinated Fully Vaccinated Number of deaths 49 23 25 (i) A researcher considers a multinomial distribution specified by probabilities of death 1– 30, 20 and O for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively. Find the maximum likelihood estimate ô. (ii) Find an approximate estimate of Var(ê). (iii) Find an approximate 95% confidence interval for 0. (iv) Consider testing the null hypothesis that the multinomial distribution is specified by probabilities 1- 30, 20 and @ for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively. The alternative hypothesis is a multinomial distribution that does not have probabilities of the given form. Find the Pearson chi-square test statistic X? and the likelihood ratio test statistic -2logA. (v) Perform the tests in part (iv) using the level of significance a = 0.05. State the conclusions of the tests. (vi) A second researecher considers a multinomial distribution specified by probabilities of death p1, P2 and p, for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively, with p + P2 + Ps = 1. Find the maximum likelihood estimates of p.. P2 and p3.
(vii) The proportions of the population who are unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated
are 0.15, 0.01 and 0.84 respectively. Consider testing the null hypothesis that the multinomial distri-
bution is specified by probabilities 0.15, 0.01 and 0.84 for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and
fully vaccinated respectively. The alternative hypothesis is a multinomial distribution that does not
have probabilities of the given form. Find the Pearson chi-square test statistic X? and the likelihood
ratio test statistic –2logA.
(viii) Perform the tests in part (vii) using the level of significance a = 0.05. State the conclusions of the
tests. What would be your advice for people who have not vaccinated?
Transcribed Image Text:(vii) The proportions of the population who are unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated are 0.15, 0.01 and 0.84 respectively. Consider testing the null hypothesis that the multinomial distri- bution is specified by probabilities 0.15, 0.01 and 0.84 for the unvaccinated, partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated respectively. The alternative hypothesis is a multinomial distribution that does not have probabilities of the given form. Find the Pearson chi-square test statistic X? and the likelihood ratio test statistic –2logA. (viii) Perform the tests in part (vii) using the level of significance a = 0.05. State the conclusions of the tests. What would be your advice for people who have not vaccinated?
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