The payoffs to investing in a small or large apartment building are summarized in thetable below. The probability of weak market demand is 0.7.What is the maximum regret associated with investing in the large apartmentbuilding?States of NatureWeakStrongYour Answer:Your AnswerDecision AlternativesSmall Building200220Large Building120310 The payoffs to investing in a small or large apartment building are summarized in thetable below. The probability of weak market demand is 0.2.What is the expected value of returns from investing in the small apartmentbuilding?States of NatureWeakStrongYour Answer:Your AnswerDecision AlternativesSmall Building200240Large Building140350

Answered: The payoffs to investing in a small or…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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Come up with a decision using each of the different criteria under conditions of uncertainty using the table below. The payoff values are expressed as LOSSES and alpha = 0.5 * (a) What is the best of the best payoff value? (b) Which decision alternative has the best of the worst payoff value? (c) Which decision alternative has the minimum payoff value of the maximum regret? (d) Which realism approach decision alternative has the maximum payoff?(e) What is the best equally likely decision to take?
Need it in powerpoint form please typed out. The country I'll choose is Japan for the Bakery according to the scenario.
Please answer everything in the photo.
d) Hurwicz )alpha = 0.40) e) Maximax f) What coefficient of pessimism should an investor so that he is indifferent on his decision to either invest in restaurant or theater?
Use the table below to answer the questions that follow and caculate the Expected Monetary Value(EMV) of the different outcomesDECISION TABLE WITH CONDITIONAL VALUESSTATE OF NATUREFAVORABLE OUTCOME UNFAVORABLE OUTCOMEALTERNATIVES ($) ($)Start a big Company 2,000,000 -500,000Start a small company 800,000 -200,000Build Nothing 0 0Probabilities 0.3 0.7Calculate the following The EMV Maximin criterion Maximax criterion Minimax criterion
A salesperson uses three different airlines. The probabilities of switching from one airline to another in consecutive flights are shown below. If the last flight was on Delta, what is the probability that the next was on American? American Delta Southwest American 0.5 0.25 0.25 Delta 0.2 0.6 0.2 Southwest 0.3 0.3 0.4 A 0.5 B 0.2 C 0.25 D 0.6
Your company must decide whether to introduce a new product. The sales of the product will be either at a high (success) or low (failure) level. The conditional value for this decision is as follows Decision High Low Introduce $4,000,000 -$2,000,000 Do Not Introduce 0 0 Probability 0.3 0.7 You have the option to conduct a market survey to sharpen you market demand estimate. The survey costs $200,000. The survey provides incomplete information about the sales, with three possible outcomes: (1) predicts high sales, (2) predicts low sales, or (3) inconclusive. Such surveys have in the past provided these results Result High Low Predicts High 0.4 0.1 Inconclusive 0.4 0.5 Predicts Low 0.2 0.4 c) Draw the complete decision tree, including the survey option. Explain where the values on the decision tree come from
You are planning to rent a car for a one-week vacation. You have the option of buying an insurance that costs $80 dollars for a week. If you do not purchase insurance, you would be personally liable for any damages. You anticipate that a minor collision will cost $2,000, whereas a major accident might cost $16,000 in repairs. Develop a payoff table for this situation. What decision should you make using each strategy? Aggressive (Optimistic) Conservative (Pessimistic) Opportunity Loss You have recently read in a magazine that that the probability of a major accident is 0.05% and that the probability of a minor collision is 0.18%. Construct a decision tree and identify the best expected value decision.
You are a risk manager of a school bus company in Hong Kong, your boss owns over 1,000 school buses. During COVID 19, almost all the school buses parked in no covered car park every day because students no need to be back to school. Your boss is considering a partial retention program for physical losses to the school buses. a) Identify the factors that your company should consider before it adopts a retention program for physical damage losses to school buses. b) If a retention program is adopted, what are the various methods you can use to pay for physical damage losses to school buses? c) Identify two risk-control measures that could be used in your company’s retention program for physical damage losses
Suppose the equilibrium price for good quality used cars is $20,000. And the equilibrium price for poor quality used cars is $10,000. Assume a potential used car buyer has imperfect information as to the condition of any given used car. Assume this potential buyer believes the probability a given used car is good quality is .60 and the probability a given used car is low quality is .40. Assume the seller has perfect information on all cars in inventory. If the seller sells the buyer a good quality car, what is the net-benefit to the seller? a. A net gain of $4,000. b. A net gain of $20,000. c. A net loss of $4,000. d. A net loss of $10,000.
Consider the decision tree involving COSTS below. 300 0.6 0.4 500 1 500 0.7 0.3 200 Which of the following is true? O Action A should be chosen according to an expected value criterion. Action B should be chosen according to an expected value criterion. O Action A is a Nash equilibrium. O Action B is a Berge equilbrium.
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