The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $8 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $4 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $9 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows would be $4.2 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $2.2 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 10%. Use the Black-Scholes model to estimate the value of the option. Assume the variance of the project's rate of return is 0.632 and that the risk-free rate is 6%. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions. For example, an answer of $1.234 million should be entered as 1.234, not 1,234,000. Round your answer to three decimal places.

The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $8 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $4 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $9 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows would be $4.2 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $2.2 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 10%. Use the Black-Scholes model to estimate the value of the option. Assume the variance of the project's rate of return is 0.632 and that the risk-free rate is 6%. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions. For example, an answer of $1.234 million should be entered as 1.234, not 1,234,000. Round your answer to three decimal places.

Essentials Of Investments

11th Edition

ISBN:9781260013924

Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.

Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.

Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1PS

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OTR Trucking Company runs a fleet of long-haul trucks and has recently expanded into the Midwest, where it has decided to build a maintenance facility. This project will require an initial cash outlay of 20 million and will generate annual cash inflows of $ 4.5 million per year for Years 1 through 3. In Year 4, the project will provide a net negative cash flow of $5 million due to anticipated expansion of and repairs to the facility. During Years 5 through 10, the project will provide cash inflows of 2 million per year. a. Calculate the project's NPV and IRR where the discount rate is 12 percent. Is the project a worthwhile investment based on these two measures? Why or why not?b. Calculate the project's MIRR. Is the project a worthwhile investment based on this measure? Why or why not?
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Herky Foods is considering acquisition of a new wrapping machine. By purchasing the machine, Herky will save money on packaging in each of the next 5 years, producing the series of cash inflows shown in the following table: . The initial investment is estimated at $1.25 million. Using a 6% discount rate, determine the net present value (NPV) of the machine given its expected operating cash inflows. Based on the project's NPV, should Herky make this investment? The net present value (NPV) of the new wrapping machine is $ (Round to the nearest cent.)

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