the following payoff table, the probability of event 1 is 0.8, the probability of event 2 is 0.1, and the probability of event 3 is 0.1 ACTION ACTION EVENT A ($) B ($) 1 50 10 2 300 100 3 500 200 a. Compute the Expected Monetary Value (EMV)for action B

the following payoff table, the probability of event 1 is 0.8, the probability of event 2 is 0.1, and the probability of event 3 is 0.1 ACTION ACTION EVENT A ($) B ($) 1 50 10 2 300 100 3 500 200 a. Compute the Expected Monetary Value (EMV)for action B

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications

6th Edition

ISBN:9781119256830

Author:Amos Gilat

Publisher:Amos Gilat

Chapter1: Starting With Matlab

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1P

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S5.1. The demand for a product of a company varies greatly from month to month. The probability distribution for the company’s monthly demand, based on the past two years of data, is given:Demand: 250 375 425 575Probability: 0.20 0.35 0.40 0.05.a) What is the expected value of the monthly demand?b) If each unit costs $40 and generates $60 in revenue, how much will the company gain or lose in a month if its production level is based on your answer to a) and the actual demand for the item is 250?
Suppose a life insurance company sells a $270,000 one-year term life insurance policy to a 22-year-old female for $230. The probability that the female survives the year is 0.999552. Compute and interpret the expected value of this policy to the insurance company. The expected value is $. (Round to two decimal places as needed.)
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Q3. Suppose that the market default rate for bonds is given by 0.01, i.e., the probability the market believes that the company may not be able to pay the owner of the bonds is 0.01. Now a credit default swap (CDS) is sold at fair price $ 0.01 per unit. Ackman expects that the true default rate is 0.05, not 0.01. Ackman bought 67 billion units of CDS at the price $ 0.01 per unit. a. Suppose that Ackeman's expectation about the default rate is not correct. I.e., the true default rate for bonds is given by 0.01. Find the cost of the purchase. Find the expected payoff. Find the profit. b. Suppose that Ackeman's expectation is correct. Find the cost of the purchase. Find the expected payoff. Find the profit.
Suppose a neighborhood grocery store buys 5 containers of skim milk at the wholesale price of $11 per container and sells it for $22 per container. After the expiration date, unsold milk is removed from the shelves and the grocer receives a credit from the distributor equal to three-fourths of the wholesale price. If the probability distribution of the variable is X and the number of containers sold from this lot is x f(x) 0 1/15 1 2/15 2 2/15 3 3/15 4 4/15 5 3/15 Calculate the expected utility. (Round to two decimal places)
There is a 0.9985 probability that a randomly selected 33 year old male lives through the year. A life insurance company charges $155 for insuring that the male will live through the year. If the male does not survive the year, the policy pays out $100,000 as a death benefit. From the perspective of the 33 year old male, what are the monetary values corresponding to the two events of surviving the year and not surviving?
An analyst attempting to predict a corporation’s earnings next year believes that the corporation’s business is quite sensitive to the level of interest rates. He believes that, if average rates in the next year are more than 1% higher than this year, the probability of significant earnings growth is 0.1. If average rates next year are more than 1% lower than this year, the probability of significant earnings growth is estimated to be 0.8. Finally, if average interest rates next year are within 1% of this year’s rates, the probability for significant earnings growth is put at 0.5. The analyst estimates that the probability is 0.25 that rates next year will be more than 1% higher than this year and 0.15 that they will be more than 1% lower than this year.a. What is the estimated probability that both interest rates will be 1% higher and significant earnings growth will result?b. What is the probability that this corporation will experience significant earnings growth?c. If the…
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2. If an insurance company issues a $200,000 five-year policy on a man whose probability of living for another five years is .994, what is the minimum that the expected cost to the company for this policy?