The correct answer is: P = 1576 11 10 10 253131 3 10 5 0 12 15 5 10 10 Probability of rain on Tuesday = 23/100

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
10th Edition
ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
Publisher:Erwin Kreyszig
Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1RQ
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The weather on any given day in a particular city can be sunny, cloudy, or rainy. It has been observed to be predictable largely on the basis of the weather on the previous day. Specfically:

  • if it is sunny on one day, it will never be sunny the next day, and be cloudy the next day 2/5 of the time
  • if it is cloudy on one day, it will be sunny the next day 1/5 of the time, and be cloudy the next day 3/10 of the time
  • if it is rainy on one day, it will be sunny the next day 1/5 of the time, and be cloudy the next day 2/5 of the time

Using 'sunny', 'cloudy', and 'rainy' (in that order) as the states in a system, set up the transition matrix for a Markov chain to describe this system.

Use your matrix to determine the probability that it will rain on Tuesday if it is sunny on Sunday.

(here's a sample of what the answer would look like)

The correct answer is:
P =
1576 11
10 10
253131
3
10 5
0 12 15
5 10 10
Probability of rain on Tuesday = 23/100
Transcribed Image Text:The correct answer is: P = 1576 11 10 10 253131 3 10 5 0 12 15 5 10 10 Probability of rain on Tuesday = 23/100
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