The company knows that the city will build the new sports stadium in either the eastern or western suburb of the city, but the city has not made a final decision.  The company needs to buy the land before the stadium final decision is made public, in order to save money on the purchase price of the land, which will probably increase substantially when the location for the new stadium is made public. The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with four different decision alternatives d1-d4 and two states of nature s1-s2. …payoff written in parentheses means a negative value.   What is the recommended decision using the expected value approach if the p(s1)=0.6 and p(s2)=0.4? Find the expected value with perfect information. Find expected value of perfect information.

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  1. The company knows that the city will build the new sports stadium in either the eastern or western suburb of the city, but the city has not made a final decision.  The company needs to buy the land before the stadium final decision is made public, in order to save money on the purchase price of the land, which will probably increase substantially when the location for the new stadium is made public. The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with four different decision alternatives d1-d4 and two states of nature s1-s2. …payoff written in parentheses means a negative value.

 

  1. What is the recommended decision using the expected value approach if the p(s1)=0.6 and p(s2)=0.4?
  2. Find the expected value with perfect information.
  3. Find expected value of perfect information.
Restaurant Land Purchase Decision
Land Purchased
Stadium is Built at Location
at Location(s)
East
West
($20)
$19
East
$22
West
($14)
$8
($1)
$0
East and West
Neither
$0
Transcribed Image Text:Restaurant Land Purchase Decision Land Purchased Stadium is Built at Location at Location(s) East West ($20) $19 East $22 West ($14) $8 ($1) $0 East and West Neither $0
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